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George BM

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  1. George BM
    Yeap. Our last moderate risk was actually a while ago June 13, 2013. (6 years ago)
  2. George BM
    Latest 12z long-range HRRR has developed storms in WV with storms also dropping towards the MD/PA line by 21z tomorrow.
  3. George BM
    A temperature of 105F with a dewpoint temp of 85F will give you a @Subtropics heaven and @wxdude64 killing 140F heat index.
  4. George BM
    FWIW (not much at this range) check out the "decent" squall line(s) on sim reflectivity through the entire region on the 0z wrf suite. Obviously far out at the end of their range though.
  5. George BM
    BWI: 108F (September 25th) DCA: 110F (September 25th) IAD: 109F (September 25th) RIC: 112F (September 25th) SBY: 107F (September 25th)
  6. George BM
    ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Maryland, The District of Columbia, Virginia, and West Virginia, including the following areas, in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Carroll, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, and Southern Baltimore. The District of Columbia. In Virginia, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Clarke, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Frederick VA, Greene, Madison, Northern Fauquier, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Page, Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Rappahannock, Rockingham, Shenandoah, Southern Fauquier, Stafford, Warren, and Western Loudoun. In West Virginia, Eastern Pendleton, Hardy, Jefferson, and Western Pendleton. * From this evening through Sunday morning * Widespread showers will develop this evening along with possible thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall is expected. Average rainfall amounts will be between 1 and 3 inches with locally higher amounts around 4 inches possible. * Heavy rainfall in short periods of time may cause creeks and streams to rapidly rise out of their banks along with the potential for flash flooding in urban areas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
  7. George BM
    One little note. No mesoscale model has the current activity in Eastern Ohio about to move into southwest Pennsylvania. CAPE is modest but still... it might be able to trigger something in the area later even if the current convection dies out. Just a small note. #Notanexpertopinion
  8. George BM
    It's a very low-key threat and more likely than not won't happen this way but a few mesoscale models try to get some remnant storms into the region tomorrow afternoon before they redevelop into asoutheastward moving storm cluster or two. This, of course, would be the most extreme case though. Just low-key watching it and exactly where the WNW to ESE oriented front sets up.
  9. George BM
    I wonder if you'd find any kind of damage if you went to those locations? Might be very minimal but still. *shrugs*
  10. George BM
    I love how some areas west of I-95 that hadn't been under a Tornado Watch since February 24, 2016 have been under 3 Tornado Watches in 12 days.
  11. George BM
    My Dad's office is close by also in Rockville. He called me about the Tornado Warning.
  12. George BM
    I'll put you down for 90mph.
  13. George BM
    What wind speed?
  14. George BM
    It's time to play Guess the intensity of the Reston area tornado last night. I'm going with an EF-0: 75mph winds Guess away! You have until the NWS comes out with the official rating.
  15. George BM
    I'll say this... so far the clouds are SLIGHTLY thinner than they were on Sunday.
  16. George BM
    Surprised that we aren't at least in some tornado risk atm. I would think that changes later though.
  17. George BM
    Poor Yoda banished from sleep... ...It appears KIAD gusted to 42kts (48mph) with the line that just came through.
  18. George BM
    Or good tropical .
  19. George BM
    Northwest of Baltimore Monday afternoon. #Digitalsevere #Soon.
  20. George BM
    I'm wondering whether anything will try to pop up along the front northwest of I-95 looking at recent satellite trends. Not necessarily talking anything too big but perhaps at least some t-showers. #Notanexpertopinion
  21. George BM
    (August 26, 2003) (June 4, 2008) (June 29, 2012) all featured a good MCS for at least a good portion of the region... June 29, 2012 obviously being the best area-wide event (except for the Maryland/Pennsylvania line).
  22. George BM
    I think Ian just retweeted your twitter post.
  23. George BM
    4.4" in Herndon, VA as of 9:30am est Wednesday, February 20, 2019.
  24. George BM
    3.8" in Herndon, VA as of 8:30am est Wednesday, February 20, 2019.
  25. George BM
    2.7" as of 7:30am in Herndon, VA. Will measure again at 8:30am.
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