Jump to content

George BM

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,901

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by George BM

  1. George BM
    My P&C for Herndon, VA shows 98F for Sat and 100F for Sun.
  2. George BM
  3. George BM
    I'm watching the line-segment currently in southeastern WV. If it holds together over the mountains it could be our main (or one of our) event(s).
  4. George BM
  5. George BM
    87/75 at IAD.
  6. George BM
    IAD currently at 80/77. Wearing the air.
  7. George BM
    IAD gusted up to 74mph from that same storm as well. (June 14, 1989) So it must have been a monster of a storm by this areas standards for a while as it tracked east.
  8. George BM
  9. George BM
    At ~3,300ft.
  10. George BM
    Happy Birthday!... Unless you just got bored and decided to post that you got older today as you do everyday. Which is true. Well you've had at least two prior birthdays since joining so... Happy Birthday either way! Since I've probably missed some in the past few years.
  11. George BM
    Radar estimates of ~1.5" here (Herndon, VA). IAD with 2.32" so as of 6:52am. I was near the northwest edge of the blob.
  12. George BM
    A trace here so far... and that was early yesterday morning around 6:05am.
  13. George BM
    A Flood Watch? @BlizzardNole Oof... and with that, there goes any small chance you had of getting good rain. Better get watering!
  14. George BM
    I'm watching the activity associated with the MCV over southern PA, far northern MD and into the panhandle of WV. Watching to see how they do with limited sunshine approaching from the west on satellite. At the high-end they could potentially become a less severe version of July 29, 2021 last year which had a similar situation with an MCV sparking off supercells with a particularly intense one going through the Fredericksburg area then. There's, of course, also the chance that they just fizzle out.
  15. George BM
    Your area sure has cashed in a lot within the past year or so.
  16. George BM
    Happy Birthday Mr. Skeleton! How DO you keep yourself from being blown away when chasing them hurricanes?
  17. George BM
    Not that it means much but the funny thing (to me at least) is that the usually 'CAPE-happy' 3kmNAM is anemic with instability through the early/mid afternoon while the usually 'Eeyore-instability' HRRR has fairly decent CAPE during that same time period.
  18. George BM
    SPC has us in the SLGT for Day 3 (Tuesday). Timing looks better for any potential NW flow cluster than what we usually experience with these regimes. We'll see how it shapes out and how far NE into the region the good CAPE gets.
  19. George BM
    I definitely like the very steep lapse rates from ~650mb to the surface being advertised on CAMs such as the HRRR for this afternoon. DCAPE looks fairly decent as well. Could see a strong downburst in a spot or two later.
  20. George BM
    Reaper Dude: Yeah dude! Wet microbursts are the bomb! The sheets of blinding rain. The high winds. It’s just like tropical. George BM: 4,000 J/kg MLCAPE, 2.25”+ PWs and 1,000-1,500 J/kg DCAPE along with modest but decent enough deep-layer flow looks very promising for cold pool generation. Maybe we can score a severe MCS with embedded microbursts/macrobursts. Every one of us crazies win! Reaper Dude: Great for softening the dirt as well for whenever I get the call. George BM: Why DID you stop doing it lately? Reaper Dude: Life. Taxes. Responsibility. Yiddy yaddy yoody yadda!
  21. George BM
    Happy hottest month of the year!
  22. George BM
    I think you should be fine. There is indeed a slight chance of widely scattered showers and/or storms tomorrow afternoon but, at least to me, it appears that any storm activity is more likely the further north and west you are in the DC area though there's a non-zero chance everywhere in the region. I personally wouldn't change plans at the moment. Also congratulations!
  23. George BM
    This moment ten years ago I was standing outside with a strange sustained west wind picking up in strength immediately ahead of the gust front with a growing roar approaching from the west. - Herndon, VA.
  24. George BM
    Causally looking at Saturday and the early/mid week timeframe next week for local severe chances.
  25. George BM
    Hey! I've been rooting for you and everyone that's missed out on our big weather events to get to see something special in return. At least you finally got that microburst last August as kind of a make-up. As for me I'd rather not talk about how that end of July to mid-August pulse severe period last summer here in Herndon.
×
×
  • Create New...