WesternFringe

140 years of data says otherwise. But emotion away

No, it is about how the median better represents 140 year data sets and how 10” is a magic cutoff for judging yearly snowfall in DC, as are certain decades better comparison decades than others. When in reality, annual snowfall remains much the same across 140 years. And yes, across cities as well. So, mock away. But facts are facts. And average annual snowfall is relatively unchanged in DCA in 140 years. And is relatively unchanged statistically in most east coast cities now that I am looking into it. And how many want to explain our poor run of snowfall luck and the unchanging average on more bigger storms and less smaller storms as a result of global warming. Even though global warming predicts the opposite (less big storms).

Okay, now do the 40s compared to the 2000s we can do this all day

Cherry picking. IPCC predicts less big storms as we warm, not more. Kinda destroys the whole “more big storms is the reason for the unchanging mean” narrative.

Talk about cherry picking, lol. Across many cities, we recently had our 4th best of the last 11 decades for snowfall, if we want to look by decade (which I don’t think is very smart).

I guess. I think perspective is king and the proper perspective is the whole data set, not our limited lifetimes.

I have been here, with no one showing me statistical analysis of DCA getting less snowfall on average other than noise since 1888. I can show you the equation of the line of best fit. Where have you been? ETA: teach me all you know about linear regression, SnowenOutThere. I will wait while you Google.

Since 1984, DCA has averaged 0.17” more snow more per year annually. I didn’t go by decades. Nor did I change my analysis based on that. That is a lie. I went by year markers until present with all of my analysis.

Yes, I want you to prove it with numbers, rather than emotion

Mean of 136 numbers isn’t skewed easily by a few numbers.

by that slope DCA is getting 3/100 of an inch less per year from 1880 to present. Or 17/100 of an inch more per year since the 1980s to present.

If you call looking at the slope of annual snowfall data recorded from DCA 1880 to present cherry picking or ‘slicing up the data’ lol

Yes, other than panic jumping like Ji, or mansplaining/panicking like PSU, I haven’t seen the data showing we have less snow than the 1880s. Prove me wrong.

I was going by decades. This is weird and confusing

So, less snowfall in 20teens than 1960s. N = 2

My analysis was from 1980s, not 1960s. I edited.

I guess, man. You can keep talking about how 2 and 3 and 4 don’t represent a data set that averages 22, but that doesn’t make it true. The mean, or average, of 135 data points, is generalizable. And represents the population as a whole. Generally speaking, ETA: we are getting more snow per year than when compared to the 1980s etaa: it doesn’t matter whether you like it or agreee, DCA is getting more annual snow now then they were in 1984

So, 7 minimums since the 1920s.

So low amounts of single digit snowfall are common. Got it.

You haven’t shown me data that single digit DCA snowfall is new a phenomenon that didn’t exist before close to 1888. I am all ears.

But tell me annual snowfall is decreasing at DCA since the 1980s and I can call you a liar and back it up with data

You are kind of proving my point by looking so intensively at the last 30 years as if they represent the data set on whole. A running 10 to 20 year data set? It is almost like you want to massage your numbers to show a point. What is wrong with 136 yrs of data points unless it doesn’t show what you want it to show? Lol

We can suck with annual snowfall. And we can suck with almost no snowfall some years. But no one has shown me statistically that we are sucking more than we used to suck. We have always sucked. Prove me wrong, with stats. Tired of hearing the negative Nancies. I grew up in upstate NY where we averaged 65+” ETA: love Bob Chill, bc he is always grounded

I was responding to others, but yes Ji, we can get get back to the ‘fact’ that this winter is over bc you have no blue on your models. Forgive me.