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DownpourDave

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by DownpourDave

  1. Could easily go away next run but the euro shows potential around New Years as have other models to varying degrees.
  2. System stays weaker this run because the jet-streak upstream is weaker and there is not as much curvature. 6z 12z
  3. That arrow should be more ENE but you get the idea.
  4. Day 10 gfs is actually a pretty good setup. It holding is another matter though.
  5. I can tell you that as a trained spotter it also matters how often you clean the board. I believe it should be every 6 hours you clean it once but yeah clearing it before the sleet was a good idea. That should count yes.
  6. Still mostly snow but sleet line has passed Wilmington. I am 5 miles north of there. It is only a matter of time.
  7. How much you got?. I measured around 5 inches just now. An impressive 1.5 inches within the past 45 min.
  8. My benchmark is 5 inches of snow. And then hopefully an inch of sleet on top of that to preserve our snow cover. I am hoping the incredible heavy rates slow down the sleet line.
  9. @KamuSnow I think we change to sleet soon. Only 10-15 miles to our south.... ugh
  10. this hobby sucks. Sleepless nights for no reason. The stress isn't worth it
  11. So should I take a drive up I-476 N tomorrow just so I do not miss this lol. It is so tempting.
  12. the cool thing is 3 inches of sleet will last a really long time, I would argue it would last longer than 1 foot of snow. All that compact ice will not go away easily. Go big or go home right. If we are going to get sleet might as well get as much sleet as possible. Still would be cool.
  13. never again will I start tracking until inside of 72 hours..... hell who am I kidding I always fall for it
  14. does sleet accumulation count for winter season snow total lol
  15. it truly is amusing seeing the NE forum melting down over the gfs.
  16. Added Bonus gfs screws over NYC and New England. Best news all day.
  17. the push from the high pressure is considerably stronger guys. This should be good.
  18. at hour 69, the 850s seem to be colder on the east coast with the 0 C line pressing further south vs 6z.
  19. at hour 42 on the gfs, the heights are lower at 12z vs 00z on the east coast. This is a good sign for the I-95 Crew. Also confluence is pushing further S on the 12z vs 00z.
  20. Hopefully the 12z GFS ticks more SE. That would be ideal.
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