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DownpourDave

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by DownpourDave

  1. Greek letters don't get retired. It would be known as "ETA 2020" but the name does not get retired.
  2. I assume that means you can identify a mesovort with the radar. I would assume they used their plane radar to know when/where to exit.
  3. what makes flying through mesovorts even more dangerous than the eyewall itself?
  4. I think the argument can be made that the data is there for a low-end cat 5 at least.
  5. is an eyewall merger out of the question. Maybe the concentric band just merges with the inner eyewall and does not take over?
  6. extrapolated: 994mb .3 degrees from the eyewall. If it is sub 900mb that is one hell of a pressure gradient
  7. revising my guess same pressure as my guess before but ill up my wind guess to 200 mph (EF5 Tornado)
  8. it will be there in 30 min it will beat the ERC.
  9. 890mb, Wind Speed High-End EF4 Tornado. (180 mph)
  10. if you want min by min updates https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-13-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data
  11. so they fly slower than commercial airlines it seems. Is that a correct take?
  12. seems like there is a legit chance it can get a few passes in before landfall, assuming it does not turn back. for what its worth, HWRF seems to think this is a current 930mb storm with it getting down to 925mb before landfall.
  13. maybe the "next" recon mission will be the one.
  14. welp I guess the recon was canceled. Not updating on tidbits
  15. do we know when the next recon flight is. Seems like now would be a perfect time to be getting data.
  16. The structure still looks amazing. Wow! Radar velocities still around 110-125mph. only 1,800 feet up in the atmosphere.
  17. how long after Katrina did the levees fail?
  18. At least no sign of levee failure so far which is great news.
  19. So will the eyewall be going over New Orleans. It is kind of hard to tell.
  20. recon found 115 knot flight level winds.. might be enough for an upgrade.
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