DownpourDave
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Everything posted by DownpourDave
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intentional or not, great call
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LOL what a let down hahaha
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extrapolated: 927 mb SFRM: knots
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extrapolated: 994mb .3 degrees from the eyewall. If it is sub 900mb that is one hell of a pressure gradient
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next update should do it if not close
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Okay officially "in storm"
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revising my guess same pressure as my guess before but ill up my wind guess to 200 mph (EF5 Tornado)
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it will be there in 30 min it will beat the ERC.
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890mb, Wind Speed High-End EF4 Tornado. (180 mph)
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if you want min by min updates https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-13-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data
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so they fly slower than commercial airlines it seems. Is that a correct take?
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seems like there is a legit chance it can get a few passes in before landfall, assuming it does not turn back. for what its worth, HWRF seems to think this is a current 930mb storm with it getting down to 925mb before landfall.
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maybe the "next" recon mission will be the one.
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welp I guess the recon was canceled. Not updating on tidbits
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do we know when the next recon flight is. Seems like now would be a perfect time to be getting data.
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The structure still looks amazing. Wow! Radar velocities still around 110-125mph. only 1,800 feet up in the atmosphere.
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how long after Katrina did the levees fail?
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At least no sign of levee failure so far which is great news.
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So will the eyewall be going over New Orleans. It is kind of hard to tell.
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recon found 115 knot flight level winds.. might be enough for an upgrade.
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btw it has made landfall it seems or nearly at that. Eye is clearly over one of the outer islands.
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radar velocities up to 140 mph 8,000 feet up. 115 mph is definitely defendable for the surface.
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
DownpourDave replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Dude this is a bad a take. -
tropical cyclone/transitioning giving a foot of snow. That would be a first. I wonder would you even call this a nor'easter. Technically it is a tropical cyclone hybrid.
