You know if we were bullseye right now there'd be just as much worrying about north shift and all kinds of assertions about modeling not being a sure bet at this range, waiting for the rug to be pulled out sub-72 hrs, etc etc.
FWIW, LWX still keeping east of Blue Ridge in yellow and west of Blue Ridge orange -- yeah it includes some southern areas but based on AFD as well, clearly they aren't writing this off yet either.