Temps will probably be a bit colder than the 10:1 standard ratio, especially the farther north you go. It looks interesting for maybe a couple of inches where the snow does fall. Better chances KS/MO of course.
Not overly excited again. There looks to be a narrow deformation type band to the north of wherever the upper low temporarily closes off. The system is still too positive tilted to really sling snow back in the cold air.
To add to the above post by StormChazer: This storm doesn't have a connection to the northern stream, the flow is of Pacific origin behind it, so areas have to rely on the 'stale' cold air that's already in place which will gradually warm.
Models have been awful this year (and last). I haven't even looked at the weeklies the last few runs because the general pattern change keeps getting pushed back. I'm starting to believe the saying "A watched pot never boils"
Euro has a nice -EPO showing up towards Christmas. Actually starts building in about 10 days. But... also a -PNA showing up. It would be awful to dump all the cold air in the west. Hopefully that changes.
yeah that system is going to be a pain. A narrow area of very heavy snow would be possible assuming everything comes together just right. Unfortunate that the cold air will largely be bottled up to the north and it will depend on system dynamics to produce that small area.