You know, Brian makes a good point. If the storm misses, the public will call it a 'bust.' Which is a real shame, because here on this site, we prefer the more scientific term for being completely wrong despite having billions of dollars in satellite data. We call it 'a statistical anomaly.' It sounds much more professional when you’re explaining to your wife why you spent twelve hours staring at a colorful map of a storm that ended up hitting a completely different ocean.