snowmagnet

That is very encouraging. I know that pac has been a huge problem for us for quite a while!

Thanks for these details. I don't understand half of it, but I'm trying to learn. I remember hearing that we were heading into a Modaki El Nino last year (or maybe 2 years ago---it's all a blur), but either it was too late in the season, or it didn't pan out. I don't know. I wasn't excited about this year since it was La Nina, but our El Nino didn't work out well the past 2 years either. So maybe it is just all luck. I do have a question about the Pacific Jet. I know that the Pac has been a huge problem for us during the past few years. However, I haven't really heard it mentioned this year. Is it not "raging" like the past couple of years?

Jan 2016 redux?

It sounds like you need to move back up north!! But I’m so glad you are still part of this forum. I love your optimistic posts. You help to balance out Ji’s pessimism. This year it has really worked out for us! I took a bunch of Jebwalks this week. We just moved to a new neighborhood that has a gorgeous trail behind it. I felt like I stepped into a winter fairytale land when I walked through there on Monday. If I could figure out how to post pictures on here, I would! Waiting for our next big one…

I have distinct memories of watching Bob Ryan’s forecasts and loved it when he had to up his snow totals. He was always so conservative with his snow forecasts.

Some place in southern Fairfax County got 10-12”. Many roads had trees down and icy streets leading into schools.

Living in the DC area most of my my life, I think we have really interesting climatology. Growing up in Charles County, MD, my mom used to always tell me that we got our biggest storms from the South. She wasn't really a fan of snow, but she did watch a lot of Bob Ryan over the years! I've since learned a great deal about winter weather dynamics from the amazing people in this forum Most places in the country aren't between the mountains and the ocean. I think our location makes for very interesting winter weather tracking (even if it's often frustrating). We definitely have to thread the needle to get those perfect storms, but sometimes we do just get lucky. Here's to more "snow on snow" this month!

Feel free to mention that rare January of 1996... you never know.

Really? It’s not supposed to hit the DC area until around 11 pm. It’s cold and cloudy - 40 at my house western Fairfax/Herndon. Feels like it’s gonna snow.

Geez... That's cold. What's the Euro look like?

This little system started as a 1-3”, 2-4” discussion earlier in the week. Then we all got excited about adding a couple more inches. I guess we are back to where we started. We won’t really know until tomorrow at around 6 am. Until then, we will keep checking in every hour (or more) just to see what changed in the models! And in the meantime, we will keep looking at the medium range to find our next January ‘16.

CWG just increased their totals a bit… everyone gets at least 2” now! With a boom scenario up to 6”

GFS led the way last weekend…

This is actually true. Many roads are still not plowed and walkways are treacherous. My husband took a picture of the driveway leading into one of our elementary schools and it was a thick sheet of ice. I’m sure we will be closed on Friday too. It looks like a couple of inches is at good bet. Regarding Covid numbers, I appreciate Mother Nature giving us a reason to stay home the week after everyone has been traveling.

I was thinking the same thing. It didn’t do so hot last go around.

As someone from Fairfax Co who got screwed with lots of cold rain/sleet last year, I totally get your frustration! I have 6" on the ground now (the best snow since Jan '19), but it's always more fun if we all get in on snow in the MidAtlantic. I keep checking back to this page for details about later in the week, so please keep asking!

My friend in Charlottesville tried to go to an appointment at 7, but had to turn around due to terrible conditions and accidents. Police everywhere.

Just got a WAA for Fairfax for 2-4”. It seems to be too conservative based on the latest information. Is that because they depend on the NAM?

We just want one event Hmmm. You say this now, but you won’t be saying that after we get 1 event! Lol. I seem to remember you weren’t even happy with the winter of 2016!

A few days ago it looked like we might have 7-8" of rain in the next couple of weeks, then there were a couple of potential snow storms on the horizon. Now I see I giant "fork" in winter and "dry and windy." I'm perfectly content with dry and windy at this point. It's been a fairly miserable winter for those of us south of PSU. It was fun tracking, but it sucks to have the rug pulled almost every time. I'm happy to start looking for Spring...

I’m one of the weird people who is happy to track snow through March and even early April. We’ve had plenty of good storms in March, but this year has been really frustrating for a good part of this forum. The pandemic adds an extra layer of frustration since people are antsy to get outside and enjoy some nice weather. I can see why many people are ready to move on to Spring

It's not like it can hurt anything. Everything has been a bust around here (except in PSU town and Winchester)!

Completely trustworthy.... didn't the Para give us 4-8" today?

Great perspective. It is definitely better than freezing rain, but it would have been nice for the fantasy snow to actually verify for a change.