I think we're gonna be good. I'm still thinking storm totals around 14-18" out here. That includes all the way through Tuesday.
Still nothing here, heavier precip beginning to back in from the SE
6" storm total thus far, sleeting as of now. My concerns are 1.) Does the CCB get out this far west? 2.) How quickly can we crash the warm layer currently in place? Regardless, it's gonna be interesting here in a bit...
Use total QPF, convert using your own ratios. In that CCB tomorrow afternoon/evening, ratios will be higher than 10:1 with incredible forcing if this look holds
That energy diving in across the Great Lakes? It helps to re-energize the trough and upper low, bringing snow straight through Tuesday and into the night...