BooneWX

Euro and GFS both show CAD but are wildly different on placement of the high. Going to be interesting to see which caves. 

Really hope Sunday’s storm pulls through. Being in the one small gap of the state that’s missing out on tonight’s potential (Burke) is a tough pill to swallow after the debacle a few weeks with the last big storm. Granted...I think there are going to be some broken hearts down east, based on the NAM. It was the only model to raise the red flag on the last storm. 

4 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Similar setup? RDU is 28-31 during the peak of this snow. It's not even really marginal.

Should’ve clarified. For my back yard it is.

Almost glad I’m in the foothills snow hole on the model runs. I was burnt a few weeks ago miserably in a similar setup. 

Not to mention that the globals may be on the warm side for the CAD 

Sunday is a really nice system for those in the western half of NC on the overnight run of the euro.... temps below freezing for the duration as well. 

On the bright side, the pattern isn’t looking quite as bad as advertised coming up.

4 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

The following week will likely feature 60s and 70s too if it doesn't have too much rain/clouds 

Good! This pattern doesn’t look likely to deliver so let’s at least make it warm enough to enjoy golf and fishing.

Ensembles look pretty good towards the tail end of this upcoming week. 

Re-visiting this thread because of how insane this storm was in hindsight. 16 inches in my location at the time and haven’t even come close to breaking past half an inch since that point. Time for a redux.

1 hour ago, weatherlover said:

When does snow look to start around Boone.  We are headed that way now from shelby

Met or AsheCounty might be your guys for this question but it should be snowing off and on all day, but late morning-early afternoon looks prime with the upper level energy swinging through. If it’s snow you’re looking for and Boone doesn’t deliver, you can always head west to Banner Elk - or at least that’s what I always did while snow chasing in college. 

Switching to rain - fun while it lasted. I can’t complain though, it was a nice surprise!

Heavier than the snow I received on Friday lol

A lot of cliff diving when all of us knew good and well that Friday’s system was a reach (and knew this for days). Let the pattern get there, nobody I’ve seen has changed their tune. We need that trough to get a little sharper than it’s been. In the meantime, never trust ANYTHING that’s not a classic Miller A 

I think I care less about the accumulation yesterday and more about the fact that after two years of having systems overproduce moisture 2-3x normal and shattering precip records by double the yearly norms, we finally had a system underachieve in precip...and alas...what great timing for it!

Biggest bust of my lifetime. Forecasted for 4-6 and got 0. Well...technically a half an inch but that melted a long time ago. 

8 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said:

Where are you located? Guessing you aren’t in Boone lol. Here in Granite we didn’t even have 1/8” an inch before it melted lol

Not far from you then. We’re down in the Icard area. I’d change my name but it won’t let me lol

Half an inch before it melted. Biggest bust in a long long time! On to the next storm. 

Radar not filling in like I thought for my location. Congrats to all of you that cashed in - on to the next one for me

I’m going to need this ULL to perform like Patrick Mahomes down a TD if I’m going to get close to predictions this afternoon. 

Maybe the upper level low got tired of us complaining about how wet it’s been lately

Brad P insistent on the ULL increasing moisture rapidly in the foothills and escarpment around lunch time.

Finally getting close to the heavier band. Lets see if we can make up some ground...

Radar is looking juicy, hang in there fellas. Every model yesterday showed this happening - we’re not off track (yet)

Still about half an inch but really starting to pick up now