It’s sort of lower confidence when we toss the model we have used as the king for the entirety of the weather boards existence
Is there a bias it has in this particular set up responsibile for it being N outlier
Congrats CT folks . That was the high confidence part of forecast and it delivered
KBED to KLWM is such a low confidence forecast with much bust potential.Taunton noaa disco Had shown it was Lower confidence forecast NE of the overnite band and they barely even touch on accumulating snows today outside elevations
N stream part and IVT is always dicey to count on and well odds are most areas in E SNE inside 495 will struggle accumulating snow by with exception of potentially of ORH hills Due to Temps rising and precip being meh . If some bands are able to organize this afternoon maybe N side of 128/495 can approach 3” and ORH hills can score more .
Scooter knows
Let’s just stop the trend and get some sort of help
Love to have something to watch , don't enjoy continual ticks north , but just keep me frozen
The high is holding solidly on those maps you posted . Even as the low trends NW ..the high is holding ...I just see a pretty strong gradient setting up
That’s ahh a clear trend .
850/925 look plenty cold for now for those who stay on N side of system but the trend is not the friend of those in S SNE .
Let’s see if that continues , reverses etc
Didn’t see this posted but 0z HREF looks pretty solid ..and bumped up for NE corner Of mass (E of ORH hills )
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/?model=href&product=snowfall_024h_mean§or=conus