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MikeB_01

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Everything posted by MikeB_01

  1. MikeB_01
    HRRR trending much better tonight than earlier. Radar looks better than what models are initiating with. saying to. 2-3 sounds good. Somewhere around I-70 will get 4. .
  2. MikeB_01
    You guys have inspired me to get creative and make some graphs. Take them for what you want. Thought it was interesting with all the chatter about the past several decades. Snow goes up, ice coverage on Erie is happening later.
  3. MikeB_01
    FWIW temps are already colder than what was forecasted. 1° at KPIT
  4. MikeB_01
    That is why they call you the "Dendrite Connoisseur". Very helpful for understanding. Thank you
  5. MikeB_01
    Roads around the south hills are tough right now. Salt not working well with temps below 10° and nothing to keep that snow from accumulating.
  6. MikeB_01
    Im not great at reading SkewTs and certainly dont fully understand the Dendrite Grown Zone (maybe @RitualOfTheTrout can chime in), but the DGZ looks pretty deep on the models for friday. I would assume that the model take this into account when it comes to their snowfall maps, but again im not sure. However, the depth of the DGZ being impressive and surface temps being in the low teens is something to think about. Recipe for over performer?
  7. MikeB_01
    Hi-Res models not very optimistic about the change over to snow.
  8. MikeB_01
    No bueno .
  9. MikeB_01
  10. MikeB_01
    Brrrr
  11. MikeB_01
    Big differences between the GFS and the Euro for Tuesday. The Euro has some potential for something to watch closely. .
  12. MikeB_01
    Just some observations on the front that is set to move through tonight. Still a long way to go, but not much precip behind the front. Too much dry air and therefore not much snow. .
  13. MikeB_01
    Some relatively light but frequent systems about to move through over the next few days. Shouldn't amount to too much, but you never know when one of these clippers can over perform and we get a quick 3-4 in. Next window to watch is tues-thurs. The trough the digs in and give us the cold air wants to keep rotating energy around the trough. If some of the pieces can come together, we might have our next system. Only time will tell
  14. MikeB_01
    Impossible for the WTOD on that one. Right?? .
  15. MikeB_01
    Saw a post in the central pa thread. A perfect display of the power of the WAA is happening in Hebron Maine today. It is 4 degrees outside with a windchill in the -teens. The current Ptype is sleet and freezing rain. .
  16. MikeB_01
    Tracking time starts tonight. Here we go again everyone! .
  17. MikeB_01
    Hard to get it with all of the drifting, but there is between 10-12 in of snow in Youngstown .
  18. MikeB_01
    In Youngstown for my sisters wedding. Probably 6 inches or so on the ground. It just switched to sleet. Amazing how far the warm air made it .
  19. MikeB_01
    33 at my house already. It’s gunna rain .
  20. MikeB_01
    That ridge is just busting in on the cold air. .
  21. MikeB_01
    I know everyone knows that it is coming, but here is some nowcasting to prove it... the ridge is way more amplified than any of the models were showing. The h8 temps way warmer than thought This has resulted in places like Indy (who was right on the mixing line like us) to be all rain. It’s inevitable. .
  22. MikeB_01
    Ditto... Also, I found this probabilistic forecast from the NWS hilarious.
  23. MikeB_01
    F weather. .
  24. MikeB_01
    Unreal .
  25. MikeB_01
    Anyone have access to the 00z HRRR? I’d love to see what that does .
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