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MikeB_01

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Everything posted by MikeB_01

  1. MikeB_01
    Just love the look of this
  2. MikeB_01
    Mount Holly's (NJ) current thoughts: The timing of the northern and southern systems will be key regarding the end results here in the East, as some guidance phases them and therefore the surface low tracks over or just west of our area. The track of the surface low will depend on where the baroclinic zone is placed and tightens, as arctic air will be pouring in on the backside of this storm. All of this will play havoc with not only the precipitation types but also amounts and therefore impacts.
  3. MikeB_01
    The spread on the 06z GEFS is unbelievable. Solutions of a monster snowstorm in Michigan or new England depending on the member. What does this mean? ---- These models know nothing right now. Thursday = huge
  4. MikeB_01
    just to put some persepctive on this situation. It will be wed/thursday before we start to see what this thing will do. These runs are not bad and will hopefully shift in a good direction for us..
  5. MikeB_01
  6. MikeB_01
    Im pretty sure i would keel over on the spot if this map verified. Not a bad run. Here we go with the same situation we are always in. Need it job 50 miles to the SE and we will be alright.
  7. MikeB_01
    UKie looks east. Good enough for me. One day closer tomorrow
  8. MikeB_01
    Honestly, even though the GFS still looked bad, i think it made some improvements in the upper levels.
  9. MikeB_01
    And that changed very quickly when the L decided to go right over AGC
  10. MikeB_01
    hour 96 on the GFS, the ridge in the west is better, the PV in the east is better. Hold on to your butts
  11. MikeB_01
    However, the more looking into this run on the ICON some weird things are happening. It shows a transition to rain at some point for us. The 2m temps are below 20°. Something fishy here
  12. MikeB_01
    The Germans are at it again. Check out that thump
  13. MikeB_01
    Loving the positivity. It is still very early in this thing. Easy to get caught up in the model swings. Keep the faith everyone.
  14. MikeB_01
    Welcome! I was never on the Accuweather forum, but i do believe some of the others on here spent some time on there. We have a pretty nice core group of people who post on this forum. Hope you'll join us for some tracking.
  15. MikeB_01
    guys...
  16. MikeB_01
  17. MikeB_01
    Noticed that too. The energy at the 500 mb level was really strung out from ohio through texas. When we were getting those massive totals, the energy was concentrated and bulldozing right into western PA
  18. MikeB_01
    Much better from the UKie
  19. MikeB_01
    Love the track from this run. Might be flying a German flag if the ICON keeps this up
  20. MikeB_01
    Not sure where the slop is coming from. I am looking at the soundings and while they say "freezing rain", the entire parcel of air is below freezing? Any ideas?
  21. MikeB_01
    Here is the L position from the Euro. It is west, but it is because of the change in position of the blocking. Much weaker signal for northern blocking on the 00z run.
  22. MikeB_01
    Damn, this is a map. The entire northeast is blanketed under more than 1 foot of snow.
  23. MikeB_01
  24. MikeB_01
    UKie is west...
  25. MikeB_01
    I feel like that GFS run looked awfully similar to March 93
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