Using Bernie's info from yesterday, NAM is showing a solution where that confluence line is staying off too far to the north. So instead of it coming further south and allowing the energy to merge over ohio, the energy is staying with the southern stream. Because confluence zone is north, the flow stays pretty west--> east and ships our Low OTS. IF we can get that confluence zone to drop in, our totals wont be super impressive, but we might get that 3-4 storm that we are desperately seeking at this point of the year. If it stays as the NAM has shown, i think our max is about 2 in.