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MikeB_01

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Everything posted by MikeB_01

  1. if you want some good news, here is the EPS for next week. That ridge pumping out west looks good for us. Feel like we might see some cool temps to come along .
  2. Nope... Im coming in with a prediction of nothing. A few flakes flying around while we sleep. Thats all
  3. This looks like a fairly similar set up to the one that we just had. A convergence of two pieces of energy that forms a low pressure center somewhere around southern Ohio/Pennsylvania. The one thing that leaves me pessimistic is mentioned in the discussion. "amount of moisture remaining in the post- frontal environment remain inconsistent." Its just really rare to have a front to come through and keep it moist enough to continue to precipitate once the temp drops enough to allow it to snow. I thought we would see some snow thursday afternoon and then it just dried out so fast once the front went through. I want to keep watching to see if the trough can dig a little deeper rather and form the low a little further south. We might have enough cold air in place that way to get an inch or two out of the system
  4. Honestly, i don't listen to him and don't trust him. His "no hype" model is great if you never want to be wrong, but it also doesn't tell people what they need to know about the upcoming weather. We could be looking at a 4-8" storm within 36 hours and he would still be calling it "snow shower" on his whiteboard weather. Its ok to give a little hype when it is in the rhelm of possibiliites. I will be curious to see how the Euro performs modeling this system for early next week. I typically view the Euro as pretty reliable 3-5 days out, but it struggled this the changeover from this past storm - it never really happened...
  5. Yes. Looking forward to seeing some flakes flying in the air. It will be interesting to see how fast the cold air gets in here today. Not thinking it will amount to anything, but would love to see some rates if we get caught under a band.
  6. Welcome back everyone! Excited for another year of tracking - hopefully this year we manage to avoid the screwzone at least once and can cash in on a few nice storms. Anyway its nice to be tracking in early November. That being said, the Euro backed off a little bit on the 12z run. Hard to analyze what happened based on the surface maps from Pivotal. Would love to see what is happening at the H5 level. Anyway, should still see some accumulating snowfall. Which makes me happy Happy Tracking!
  7. Atmosphere is looking loaded for tomorrow afternoon. Even though the sounding is saying "Tor" I am not sure i buy that. Not enough directional shear for it imo. Damaging straight line winds look more likely
  8. Noticed they uped it to Enhanced at the for the latest outlook. Saturday is looking juiced up and ready to go as well.
  9. Anyone else already tired of Jeff V on twitter? All I hear about it "No hype" / "No Fearcasting". Great, that is really appreciated. Some stations are notorious for fearcasting, I get it. But come one, he didn't even start talking about accumulating snow until Friday night. He was still saying "snow shower".
  10. F Boston and their 12" snow storm. They complained all year and it looks like they will be rewarded with it. They got a decent hit today and another one coming tomorrow
  11. How bad has the NAM been at temp profiling this winter? 12Z nam still had freezing rain at the onset of the precip tonight. My house in already at 33°. Well before any precip makes it to the area.
  12. Does every system have to cut through Ohio? Like watching a bunch of bowling balls roll through
  13. I remember this storm. Fortunately, I go much higher numbers than this. But i know some people in our thread got 2ft+
  14. How about 4 inches in northern Florida. You have got to be kidding me. .
  15. Welcome to the climatology. We have easily the most mundane weather in the country. At least San Diego, though quiet, is beautiful. Pittsburgh is boring and grey .
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