Looks like the surface low is east of previous runs, especially north of DC. H5 however looks about the same looking on my phone. Maybe exact path at H5 is still "up in the air "?!?
Not sure about that. Maybe we're suffering from STF, storm thread fatigue. Nothing wrong with the overnight runs. The guidance is moving the storm more south and east which will be good for everyone but we're still 3.5 days from first flakes. LOL
So to my untrained eye, the EURO places the ULL in sw VA and it moves basically northeast from there while the GFS has it move basically through west VA. What causes the difference between the two?
Over the last few days there have been concerned about that ocean storm mucking up everything. I notice that the ocean storm is still there and moving out so have things changed in that regard?
Are you saying that there is no way that the ocean storm could give us a decent hit? Isn't that a robust enough of a HP to keep the cold air supplied to us?