Wonderdog
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Everything posted by Wonderdog
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Any concerns that the ridge out west is too far west?
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Looking at H5, it looks like the "block" is oriented east/west as opposed to north/south which delays that primary lp from scooting away and allowing moisture to come up the coast after this upcoming event.
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What a stream of moisture coming on Christmas.
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Thank heavens we never have bad luck.
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What if it rotted say in Arkansas or maybe TN? Wouldn't that.make a difference in the coastal track?
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The 18z run shows the primary pettering out in Iowa and reappears around Wilmington NC. Isn,'t that a somewhat outlier redevelopment?
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Track sucks. Needs to redevelop further south. Still time.
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Agreed
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I have the same recollections. And the more you know, the less enthusiasm there is. Where did you grow up? I'm from Vineland
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Sounds like a stout block could also be a real nightmare for the Mets on this board, wrt forecasting.
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6z GFS op trying to give us some mood flakes next week and is that some CAD in the mountains?
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Interesting. So do you think the lock in period is down to 3-4 days now. and do you consider the EURO still the quickest to the dance.
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I suppose that a major pattern/blocking scenario would cause major problems for the models so while this weekend's storm is probably is probably toast, the December 15th time frame may still be a possibility. A little better climate-wise and it gives more time to set up.
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Gfs hour 210 at 12z much changed from 6z
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Maybe I spoke too soon.
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Should be more south and east, no?
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Right you are brother, thanks! Good reminder to check the date/time of the runs.
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CMC on board for a VA event on 12/09-12/10 at end of its run.
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Agreed. But does anyone know how many times in the last twenty years when models showed similar setups in December?
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Wish that look at H5 would dig further south to maybe interact with the storminess along the coast in 11/14-11/15 time frame. Coud be fun.
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Spotty drops beginning in Burke.
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Just went through a period of sleet on Fairfax County Parkway!
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Flurries in Gainesville 39 degrees
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Heavy snow in Gainesville with wind.
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Snow in Gainesville 50°
