Chicago Storm

Looks like a modest cooldown next week, then warming up significantly with possible torch conditions as we approach middle of December.

just a modest cool down, eh? and only for next week you say, huh?

gonna start off the season with two L’s. hate to see it.

what's happening here at the IL/WI lakeshore border?

nighttime micro and band 7 shortwave IR images

I’m guessing it’s some sort of burn at one of the large preserves around there.

There were so many burns going on at local preserves today that there was a layer of smoke during the afternoon. It was significant enough to put it in OBS here at ORD for a while.

3.6 magnitude earthquake near I-80 in North-Central Illinois earlier this morning.




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Things you do not expect to see, even this far south during the second week of November...
 

Noticed a few bees and mosquitos around here last week.


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Looking wintry around Thanksgiving!

That’s likely a bit too early, but after that quite possibly.

On 11/8/2023 at 11:24 AM, CheeselandSkies said:

Possibly some potential in there somewhere, as well?

Maybe down south at some point. Definitely not this upcoming week, though.

On 11/1/2023 at 12:15 PM, Chinook said:

How is this not a huge -NAO and huge +PNA

 

Partially an example as to why it's not wise to take any given teleconnection at face value based off one of the plots.

the warming is only going to accelerate, palms up to the up ez

doin’ pretty good around these parts at least.

Maybe then, y'all can experience the greatness that is In-N-Out...

there is nothing great about that place, that’s for sure.


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Solid agreement on deep toughing returning to the West Coast much of next week, as we see a bit of a shake up in the large scale pattern across North America and vicinity. This will lead to another period of very mild temperatures across the sub-forum.

Halloween 2023 finished as the 5th coldest and 2nd snowiest Halloween on record for Chicago.

Top 10 Coldest Halloween's:
1. 31 - 1873
2. 32 - 1917
3. 33 - 2019
4. 37 - 1878
5. 38 - 2023
6. 39 - 1930
6. 39 - 1906
6. 39 - 1874
9. 40 - 2017
9. 40 - 1996
9. 40 - 1954

Top 10 Snowiest Halloween's:
1. 3.4" - 2019
2. 0.9" - 2023
3. 0.1" - 2014
4. T - 1993
4. T - 1955
4. T - 1926
4. T - 1918
4. T - 1917

Halloween 2023 finished as the 5th coldest and 2nd snowiest Halloween on record for Chicago.

Top 10 Coldest Halloween's:
1. 31 - 1873
2. 32 - 1917
3. 33 - 2019
4. 37 - 1878
5. 38 - 2023
6. 39 - 1930
6. 39 - 1906
6. 39 - 1874
9. 40 - 2017
9. 40 - 1996
9. 40 - 1954

Top 10 Snowiest Halloween's:
1. 3.4" - 2019
2. 0.9" - 2023
3. 0.1" - 2014
4. T - 1993
4. T - 1955
4. T - 1926
4. T - 1918
4. T - 1917

October 2023 finished as the 10th snowiest October on record for Chicago.

Top 10 Snowiest October's:
1. 6.3" - 1989
2. 4.6" - 2019
3. 4.4" - 1967
4. 3.0" - 1952
5. 2.2" - 1906
6. 1.9" - 1957
6. 1.9" - 1913
8. 1.3" - 1917
9. 1.2" - 1925
10. 0.9" - 2023

October 2023 finished as the 10th snowiest October on record for Chicago.

Top 10 Snowiest October's:
1. 6.3" - 1989
2. 4.6" - 2019
3. 4.4" - 1967
4. 3.0" - 1952
5. 2.2" - 1906
6. 1.9" - 1957
6. 1.9" - 1913
8. 1.3" - 1917
9. 1.2" - 1925
10. 0.9" - 2023

+TSSN downtown currently.




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[mention=13722]hardypalmguy[/mention]Mr. Radar leads me to believe there is a beautiful coating of white on the palms. Care to share a photo? 

+TSSN in the vicinity currently.




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Not surprisingly, these squalls are fairly convective…




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11 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

very high end squall came through the office with a DAB down already

making a run at 1"+

You should later, when that lake enhanced pivot moves through. 

May see a corridor of 1-3" with it.

ORD on the board with 0.1” thus far today.

Already tied for the 2nd snowiest Halloween on record.


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13 hours ago, Baum said:

snow on Halloween is never a good sign longer term. 

There's really not a big correlation one way or the other...

...Chicago Halloween-Winter Snowfall Comparison Stats...

2019: 3.4" = Winter 2019/20: 34.8" (Neutral/El Nino)
2014: 0.1" - Winter 2014/15: 50.7" (El Nino)
1993: T - Winter 1993/94: 41.8" (Neutral)
1955: T - Winter 1955/56: 26.3" (La Nina)
1926: T - Winter 1926/27: 23.8"
1918: T - Winter 1918/19: 28.7"
1917: T - Winter 1917/18: 64.1"

The first real-deal flake potential of the season around here may be on the horizon for Halloween.

Guidance is in agreement as of now for a potent disturbance to move through, bringing a squally/showery set-up.

Topped out at 83° at ORD today, which tied the record high temperature for the date (1963).

Chicago/O'Hare had a high temperature of 83° today, which tied the record high temperature for the date of 83°, which was set in 1963.

Currently 81°/60° at ORD.

Welcome back, summer.


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Solid LER setup tonight, affecting Southeast Wisconsin, parts of Illinois, and Northwest Indiana.

One band makes it down to nearly the STL area.




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