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ldub23

Weenie
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Everything posted by ldub23

  1. Another lt snow event possible?
  2. Late Dec and this model is showing rain in North Dakota to the cold NW side of a low. 1/3rd of winter is gone at this point.
  3. JB says it will be warm and stormy now but it can still snow Pattern change still coming
  4. Imstill hoping the punt gets blocked and another hot winter is defeated but im getting a bad vibe when once again its Dec and instead of talking about the latest snowstorm threat, like last winter we are talking about severe weather.
  5. Santa wants to know when the pattern is changing
  6. Hopefully this is the pattern change
  7. I post plenty of maps that show snow and cold as well and when fairbanks starts a sustained warm up i will be the first to post it.
  8. Twas the night before Christmas and all thru the house, no arctic air was stirring, not even a wisp. (best i could do) Im still looking at when fairbanks warms up. Hopefully it wont be in march. And yes, when Fairbanks starts talking about well above normal temps then the cold will be coming Extended Forecast Days 4-7... The extended is looking interesting. Starting with the general pattern, troughing over the state will leave an arctic front draped over the Interior, the exact placement is still being determined but this will play an important role. The storm track will be from the Pacific, south of the Aleutians to near Prince William sound. This will allow for several snow chances in the Interior. The placement of the arctic front will be determined by a couple of factors, a low over the Arctic providing northerly flow and the remnant low over the YK Delta providing persistent lows into the Northern Gulf of Alaska. Also, with these storms coming up, they will run into a high sitting over Eastern Russia, resulting in a tightening gradient and prolonging the northerly winds in the Bering Strait and St. Lawrence Island next week with heavy snow still remaining possible. Winds may pick up significantly over the Bering Sea with this set up and we are monitoring closely for the potential for impactful weather. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.
  9. I remember that well with my snow flurries while 25 miles SW It was 10-12 inches
  10. Last paragraph from Fairbanks discussion Extended Forecast Days 4-7... It looks to be much colder than we`ve seen lately and the coldest of the season so far for many locations, especially the West Coast and Western Interior Sunday night into Monday. The pattern looks to consist of troughing over the state which would bring more in the way of Arctic air to the West Coast and Western Interior with some moderating and chances for Interior snow by midweek. Details are still being ironed out and we will continue to monitor the evolving pattern as it is volatile. Its a bit below normal now. As long as they stay cold its going to be really hard for it to get cold here.
  11. The signs of a pattern change might be there but the cold air isnt about the coldest time of day and nothing remarkable anywhere in the US
  12. I would like to see Fairbanks warm up before i get too excited about cold here. This Afternoon Snow, mainly before 3pm. High near 4. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tonight A 20 percent chance of snow before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -5. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 4. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph. Thursday Night A 40 percent chance of snow, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -11. Calm wind. Friday A 50 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 0. Calm wind. Friday Night A 40 percent chance of snow, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -20. Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near -9. Saturday Night A slight chance of snow after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -21. Sunday A slight chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near -8. Sunday Night A slight chance of snow before 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -17. Monday A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 3. Monday Night A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -5. Tuesday A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 3.
  13. GFS went from winter storm to summer heat.
  14. JAN 1994 was chilly in NYC with 3 lows of zero or colder Maybe this is the beginning of the pattern change. We are not at the beginning of the end but the end of the beginning First time the cold has dug in with a storm
  15. 18Z also has this AND it snows and snows and snows
  16. This pattern will never work. 1 or 2 days of cool followed by rapid warm-ups. Nice for lake effect as it never gets so cold the lakes totally freeze up.
  17. The problem is the cold is always a glancing blow. It needs to dive into the center of the country and spread east.
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