ldub23

If anything is there in 7 days the Euro shows an awesome pattern. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ecmwf-opertc2.cgi?time=2022091112&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=168hr

Not the best look for a memorable October. Maybe the wheel will show up.

Early end to the season still on the table. Euro shows 2 storms forming in the East Pac. This "burst" of activity wasnt much. A storm that had to form from a non tropical low near greenland and another one that had to escape the tropics. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ecmwf-oper/2022091012/slp8.png The east coast trof hasnt budged all season.

Im hoping next years elenino will end up active in the atlantic.

Obviously, anyone wanting sunny weather is a death dealing ghoul. On a serious note i got some bad news today. My eyesight has been getting really blurry. I went to an Opthamologist. She said i have Ocutropulus. It only effects people squinting at satellite pictures to find clouds in the tropics. Please pray for me.

As opposed to tornados, especially severe tornados. that many people want to form to watch them or chase them. Blizzards? Rain? Rain has ruined many lives. Ever hear of floods? Sunny weather? You want people to get skin cancer?

It develops the wave behind it a bit but its much much much much weaker than last night. It will be dropped tonight.

All arguments aside, the JB-o-Meter is sitting at zero. As far as tropical storms i would 1 million times want a tropical storm to hit here than seeing 20 greenland/azores hurricanes doing nothing. Im old enough to remember tropical storm Doria back in 1971. Practically went right over my house. It was awesome seeing the outer cirrus following by a lowering cloud deck with 2 outer bands bring heavy squalls followed by 40-60 mph winds with a few gusts over 70. **Does anyone think we will ever again see a well developed hurricane sitting at 14n 55w moving wnw with no sign of an east coast trof?

I agree. Its a totally dead season. I dont care about a greenland hurricane. As i always say go into the winter weather thread in the midatlantic forum in Feburary when winter has been snowless in DC with temps 6 degrees above normal and claim how great a winter its been because Butte Montana has had 4 blizzards and is 10 degrees below normal. They would think you are an idiot.

We can definitely rule out wilma and 2005. This borefest is nothing like that. The other seasons gave some indications that something like that could happen. Strong hurricanes hitting SO CAL tells me a carribean monster isnt likely this season. May as well hope for something though, its all we got. There will be no "homebrew" with that massive trof off the coast. And yes, bebops mean nothing to me. With the east pac in el nino mode again i doubt the western basin will be terribly active. Thats a cat5 trof in the western ATL for early Sept.

About as dead as it can get. Dani had to get to greenland to form, early is still on the struggle bus until it can get away from the tropics, the one behind it looks like a dried up prune.. Looks like a zero storm season. Still hoping for a 1 storm season but thats quickly fading. Other than a 6hr Bonnie there has been no tropical development whatsoever this season.

Still nothing trackable. Of course the forecasted ridging never occured.

Yea, a hurricane that had to head to Greenland to develop and another one that limped across the Atlantic and didnt do anything till out of the tropics isnt much of a switch flip for peak in a season that was supposed to be hyperactive.

Andy Hazelton not very impressed. Hilarious amount of shear. Later he says the western basin is less hostile but can anything even survive to get there.

Nothing on the horizon that would make this a one storm season. Only hurricane formed from a non tropical low next to Greenland.

Looks like not much after 91L. Still think the season ends early with a Greenland storm the best one of the season.

Let me add to that the Euro came in and said, "CMC, YOU MAKE ALOT OF SENSE" That being said 91L is on the struggle bus big time. Here is the 12Z Euro. It would still likely recurve but its alot closer than it was. That is a very interesting pattern the Euro is showing for the east coast. If i were drawing a pattern for an east coast hit it would be quite similar to this.

He may have meant Aug 2023. Some interesting things to think about this hurricane season. We have always been told that warmer than normal SST's in the NW ATL would cause high pressure to lock in there and make the overall pattern favorable for hurricane hits. As usual even with well above normal SST's low pressure locked in. Not only that but now we are being told the above normal SST's are part of the reason for the slow season. Also, it was supposed to be favorable for the subtropics to be cooler than normal but we are now being told thats unfavorable as well. Anyway, still hoping for a 1 storm season. Maybe the euro will come in shortly and say, "i agree with you CMC"

Since when is a TD a named storm? From now its 0/0/0/0? LOL. Even if something gets called a storm i still win compared to others who said august would be sideways, fast and furious watch and CSU'S 20/10/5. Aug would have to be rather active for that to verify. And some on here were rather bullish for Aug. Its all good though im still hoping we can salvage a 1 storm season.

Ive already declared victory. As for the future the hope for a 1 storm season rests with a future storm on the Euro. Basically if it even forms how far west it gets is based on how strong 91L gets.

JB comes to the rescue. No commentary from me except i hope he is right and we still can salvage some kind of season.

Suspiciously dead? Its been that way all season. Im posting this not because of 91L which is very weak on the Euro, not that i care at this point, but to show as i was saying there is squat behind possible Dani. Whenever i hear people talking about how things have suddenly become favorable in the Sahara the first thing i do is look behind whatever is supposed to develop. If the pattern has flipped then we are going to see many lows with good prospects to develop, especially at peak in a season that was supposed to be hyperactive. We dont. There is bone dry air just like all season. I feel sorry for JB because he really wants to have a hurricane season like i do. There is a non tropical low(typical of an ultra dead season) that might be a nothing and go nowhere well east of NJ. Im not counting on an active Sept and im sure not expecting many threats to the US like the experts said. They said we would have a locked in high over the NW ATL. I said we would have a locked in trof in the west ATL. Anyway, here is the 12Z euro with Jack Squat behind 91L. I cant imagine a more pitiful map for peak. This map gives us an idea of the ultra super whopper high pressures in the tropical ATL after 91L http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ecmwf-opertc2.cgi?time=2022082912&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=192hr And finally i am very much aware the season doesnt supposedly end on 15 sept. But really, did it ever begin? Here we have on the GFS MR WINTER(winter pattern anyway) making a wonderful cool dry appearance. And remember the experts were saying at peak high pressure was going to dominate the west atl and steer things ominously close to the coast. ******And there you are. 11/7/3 next season with a few real storms to track 150% of normal snow from RIC-BOS this winter. ****And there you are.

lol bless your heart. You don't have a major to ravage the coastline. Guess you'll move on to a subforum Winter thread now? Peace out, homeslice! None of us are here for sunny pleasant weather. And i might be mistaken but last time i looked they were praying for a bitter cold and snowy winter in the winter sub-forum. I suppose that kind of death and destruction is ok. Personally, i like snow but not cold.

Miserable way to end the season. If it forms its a recurving nothing so i was quite accurate about the locked in trof instead of preseason forecasts of a ridge. There is nothing behind it as conditions will become increasingly unfavorable. Super typhoon in west pac=zippo atl. We wont even have a 1 storm season. Larry Cosgrove had the best pro forecast 14/7/2 and even that looks too high. Even JB cant bother to talk about it. The JB-O-Meter is at zero right now.. Look at the sky high pressures in the Atlantic tropics after dani bebops. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ecmwf-opertc2.cgi?time=2022082900&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=192hr And there you are.

Hopefully this will be the 1 storm of the season. Can it survive the next 5 days?