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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    I remember Cantore mentioning this, but I expected something that sounded more scientific like "bombogenic temperocyclonic storm" or maybe just "bombogenic temperate cyclone" lol
  2. LibertyBell
    twitter should autoban these people did you see how bots are spreading a false narrative of australian wildfires being mainly "caused" by arsonists?
  3. LibertyBell
    I dislike the term "bomb cyclone"- it's like they combined two words that dont belong together into one phrase. It sounds very awkward.
  4. LibertyBell
    Looks like both weekend days will have record highs and a chance at 70 on Sunday with the sun coming out? Lows will be in the mid 50s lol, bug city. Remember the severe wx warning we had back in Jan 96 about two weeks after the blizzard? I think that was the last time we had dew points in the 60s in January?
  5. LibertyBell
    Just in time for the 70 and sunny skies on Sunday ;-)
  6. LibertyBell
    it covers up all the dirty concrete crap on the ground!
  7. LibertyBell
    This is very poignant (and for more than just climate change reasons.) https://www.cbsnews.com/news/joel-sartore-on-saving-endangered-species-and-ourselves/ The video has images of species nearing extinction.
  8. LibertyBell
    Paul, is there a way to come up with a list of analogs of other Januarys that went into a similar pattern?
  9. LibertyBell
    No, I dont think anyone does. But they just disagree on the timing. A lot of us think that February will be much better for winter weather than January is and will be.
  10. LibertyBell
    I think he means that if the pattern was really that good that storms wouldn't be cutting or hugging. Cutting/hugging is the effect, not the cause.
  11. LibertyBell
    The first half of December was pretty meh too....now once you get to the end of the month and especially February, you're talking, but that was what many of the LR forecasters said anyway, that this would be a backloaded winter.
  12. LibertyBell
    yes and useless cold in between when its dry and sunny lol
  13. LibertyBell
    cold dry to warm wet and back to cold dry?
  14. LibertyBell
    Yes but that was a pattern that was bad for the coast. It was good for areas to the far northwest of us. You need better blocking around here.
  15. LibertyBell
    let's see if we get a trough on the east coast right after that, that would be good for winter weather around here.
  16. LibertyBell
    Hey if it's going to be warm, much better if it's warm and dry and 70 as opposed to rain and 55!
  17. LibertyBell
    I see that system over the weekend is trending drier as the storm track is trending even further west and north of us. Really more like a summer pattern, not even a spring pattern. You're going to see thunderstorms all the way into Canada!
  18. LibertyBell
    thats why I consider 50" the minimum for "historic" I wonder if 40/40 winters will become more frequent in our new climate or will they still be relegated to the "extremely anomalous" category? 2015-16 was a 40/40 winter at JFK. It seems like a transitional phase before more warming occurs.
  19. LibertyBell
    It seems to me that the current pattern could have been predicted was back in the early 2010s. We lost the -NAO blocking back then and needed historic levels of -EPO to continue the snowy pattern. It was only a matter of time before that would go away too. We needed miracle comebacks in winters like 2015-16 and winters that followed.
  20. LibertyBell
    Yup, that was prevalent during the late 80s and early 90s. Note how cold our Jan avg temps were during the 80s with low snowfalls. Thats a good side effect of our increasing precip totals since 2000- it's now difficult to get a below avg temp month combined with below avg snowfall, however it can still happen if the pattern dictates cold/dry followed by warm/wet followed by cold/dry, etc. And such a pattern is very stable and difficult to dislodge.
  21. LibertyBell
    The 1990s was transitioning away from the low points of the 70s and 80s. We still haven't seen a winter as great as 1995-96 and 1993-94 was also really good. Unfortunately they were book ended by winters that sucked (except 1992-93 which was about average here.)
  22. LibertyBell
    Seems like the average snowfall line runs from about Binghamton to Boston. Time will tell if it descends south as the season progresses.
  23. LibertyBell
    I love the period Jan 20 to Mar 20 during our snowy winters.
  24. LibertyBell
    Yes, and in 2015 we didn't get cold/snowy until around Jan 20th either.
  25. LibertyBell
    I would also say that we almost always have a small window of winter in a long-term warm pattern. We had a 3" snowfall in Jan 07, as a case in point. It doesn't change the fact that the overall pattern is very warm.
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