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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
1988 omg lol, that was definitely an inland summer 2010 was my favorite summer of all time -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
For long heatwaves, I start at 7 days. It's disappointing there have been no 7 plus day heatwaves here, as you can see from the above our best heatwaves were in 1953, 1993, 1999 and 2002. Chris and I just talked about this in a different thread: this goes towards my contention about why it's *climate change* and not *global warming*, there are different changes occurring in different parts of the world, the most pronounced change in our region during the so-called warm seasons has been more cloud cover and more rain. More of a pronounced warming in the fall and winter. September and even October have become extensions of late summer. The changes are nuanced and don't always mean higher temperatures, especially in the warm season the increase in rainfall is more than the increase in temperatures. -
it's also good to talk about how disappointing a summer 1996 had, we had no 90 degree days after May, outside of one day that barely hit 90 on the last day of August in that year.
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this goes towards my contention about why it's *climate change* and not *global warming*, there are different changes occurring in different parts of the world, the most pronounced change in our region during the so-called warm seasons has been more cloud cover and more rain. More of a pronounced warming in the fall and winter. September and even October have become extensions of late summer.
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Next week looks really nice with sunny skies and temps in the low 60s. The rainfall can stay in the middle of the country for a few months, lets keep it there.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
The government needs to make air conditioning mandatory in every home and in every apartment. I find it in 2025 it's highly ridiculous that more people have cell phones than air conditioning. Home builders must be forced to include air conditioning in every home or apartment building they build. We just did that here in New York. If you can afford to have a cell phone you can afford to have air conditioning. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I don't know about you but I find these extreme events interesting and even exciting. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kopperl,_Texas Shortly after midnight on June 15, 1960, a very rare meteorological phenomenon, a heat burst, struck the community when a dying thunderstorm collapsed over Kopperl. The storm had rained itself out, and with little to no precipitation to cool the resulting downdrafts, superheated air descended upon the community in the form of extremely hot wind gusts up to 75 mph (121 km/h). The temperature increased rapidly, reportedly peaking near 140 °F (60 °C),[3] 20° above the official all-time high for the state of Texas and exceeding the highest official temperature recorded on Earth. The storm, known as "Satan's Storm" by locals, soon became part of local folklore.[4][5][6] -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_burst heat bursts are absolutely wild, I want to experience one of these in my lifetime In meteorology, a heat burst is a rare atmospheric phenomenon characterized by a sudden, localized increase in air temperature near the Earth's surface. Heat bursts typically occur during night-time and are associated with decaying thunderstorms.[1] They are also characterized by extremely dry air and are sometimes associated with very strong, even damaging, winds. Although the phenomenon is not fully understood, the event is thought to occur when rain evaporates (virga) into a parcel of cold, dry air high in the atmosphere, making the air denser than its surroundings.[2] The parcel descends rapidly, warming due to compression, overshoots its equilibrium level, and reaches the surface, similar to a downburst.[3] Recorded temperatures during heat bursts, as informally known as "Satan's Storm", have reached well above 40 °C (104 °F), sometimes rising by 10 °C (18 °F) or more within only a few minutes. Possible that temps rose above 100 °F (38 °C), however thermometers designed to detect temperatures up to 140 °F (60 °C) broke. 15 June 1960 Kopperl, Texas 75 °F (24 °C) 140 °F (60 °C) 65 °F [b][68] -
it's a four day period so one would expect at least some rainfall on one of the days
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
ah I like the word albedo more than dimmer.... albedo defines the percentage of reflectivity of nonluminous celestial bodies. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
inland areas are doing better with heat, meanwhile on the east coast we haven't seen a lengthy heatwave since 2002. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
we've had heat bursts that exceeded 140 degrees that burned trees and crops and even doors, but these are not considered part of the temperature record -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
dimmer? But the earth only reflects light, maybe he means the sun has gotten dimmer? -
It really does seem that extremes are the name of the game now, we got completely shut out of all precip all of October last year right to the middle of November and now the see saw seems to be going the other way.
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It's likely we'll just go from one extreme to the other, it's usually the way nature works. Some people forget that humans are also a part of nature.
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Those 2-3 days of clear weather were my favorite weather conditions of the entire spring, looks like we'll get another period like that starting Sunday and continuing for a few days after that. I long for years like 2002, very warm to hot and dry with low humidity and clear blue skies. Rainfall is good to get, if it happens for short intervals and only at night, getting that 2 nights a week with showers and thunderstorms would probably be enough.
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We sure have had many of these, it's the 3rd one that I remember in the last 2 weeks and it looks like a rainout for Memorial Day weekend too. Our reservoirs are over 101 percent now.
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Just my own definition of a stuck pattern is precip that lasts for 3 days or more.
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if it's in the morning and then it stays cloudy all day then it's definitely a wash out. No one wants wet ground with cloudy gloomy skies.
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I was fascinated by the extremes on all the continents so I went about looking for different measurements with temperature and snowfall and for Asia I found a big extreme in temps between Omyakon and Verhoyansk (the dual cold poles in Siberia) vs Ahwaz in Iran.... going from -96 to +130. The really interesting thing is those two towns in Siberia can go from nearly 100 degrees in the summer to nearly -100 degrees in the winter, I don't think you can get that kind of extreme range anywhere on the planet besides there and maybe the major city closest to them-- Yakutsk. Besides northern Japan, the other region in that area with such extreme snowfall is the Kamchatka Peninsula in eastern Siberia (which is geographically close to northern Japan).... I saw a nature documentary of this very beautiful region and the diversity in flora and fauna there is absolutely amazing!
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That's not to say you can't get a -nao in the middle of such a pattern or even that you need a -nao for a big snowfall winter. Just don't expect a sustained period like 02-03 through 10-11 occurring anytime soon.
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It's been flooding and I heard a school bus was swept away in the flooding in Maryland. I don't mind 1 inch rainfall events, but 2-3 inch events and more are excessive and indicative of the harm that can be caused by stuck patterns. I've always maintained that floods are more dangerous than droughts. I wish we could get a moderate amount of rain, instead of excessive rainfalls that last many days at a time. I find it interesting how snowfall events are in and out in less than 24 hours (often 12 hours or less) but rainfall lingers for days on end.
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Why do TV mets sound like a broken record with *not a washout not a washout* etc. Why do they care if we think it's a washout or not? My definition of washout: If it rains in the morning and is cloudy for the entire day, regardless of whether it rains the rest of the day or not, it's a washout! I don't want wet ground or cloudy skies. It never rains an entire day anyway, so calling it *not a washout* has no real meaning. For example, although it is not raining right now*, it's been a washout. So just say it's going to rain and don't use the W word at all!
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Looks like the sun is trying to come out here again. Good, I need to go pick up dinner in 30 minutes.