LibertyBell

wow these are more variable than weather forecasts. Could you imagine if an asteroid or comet were headed here, I wonder how well we can forecast those?

Last year was historic, so I actually enjoyed that. May maxes in the 40s are my benchmark, how many have we had since 1978? In other news did you see the forecast for that Chinese space rocket? It's going to pass right over our heads before dropping into the middle of the Atlantic. If that forecast is off by only 30 min......

wow the yellow line model has this flying right over NYC and Long Island on its way to the middle of the Atlantic, how much would that have to be off to actually hit the east coast here?

I cant stand Spring either, although this one hasn't been as bad as last year, less rain so less allergies for me. But now this drab overcast stuff is something I really hate, when did NY become the new Seattle? NY is supposed to have a lot more sunshine than this, it's May not March.

I'd like a much more regulated climate rather than back and forth between a few days in the 80s and a few in the 50s and even a scattered frost thrown in here and there. At my other house it's going to be close to freezing tonight so there could be some damage to spring plants. My azaleas =\

I know I was jesting. I just want Spring to be warmer, this weather is bad for yard work. I think Siberia has already risen 10C or 18F.

wow how is the probability of a cooler than normal May so high (67 pct) when we're only a quarter of the way through the month, Don?

but 37 at JFK? also what date was that and what was the high? do you have anything from there for May 14, 1996?

lol did you get a load of the 20th- 48 hi 46 lo .....must be a cold windy rainy day.....44 is the low the following night. Well at least next weekend is awesome, with highs in the upper 70s and sunny I'd assume.

any idea why this keeps happening in May? It seems like this has become way more common since about 2010

although I do agree about lack of intelligent life on this planet lol. To be honest some animals seem to be far more intelligent and empathetic than most humans. I found this endearing. It has taken animal behavioral scientists decades to realize animals have intelligence, feelings, sentience and empathy. https://www.pbs.org/wnet/nature/animal-odd-couples-meet-the-odd-couples/8025/ Charlie and Jack Jack, a 16-year-old goat, formed an touching relationship with Charlie, a blind 40-year-old horse. Jack essentially became Charlie’s eyes, and would lead him around the ranch property where they both lived. the full story about Jack and Charlie and what amazes me is that the horse was first blind in only one eye and the goat knew it and he would adjust his walk to walk on one side so he wouldnt block the horse's good eye later on when the horse became blind in both eyes he walked dead center to guide him straight to the food and after the horse passed away the goat would go there by himself and not eat just stand there contemplating about his old friend when the goat passed away he was buried right next to his best friend

No it did not. The original earth was way too toxic for life, it was vastly different than the planet we have today. It took 2 billion years for the first unicellular life to develop (the planet is 4.6 billion years old) and those were methanogens (cyanobacteria also known as blue-green algae) and those were needed before anything else could evolve because they are the ones who set the changes into motion that we needed to get more complex life. We didn't even have multicellular life for billions of years after that, let alone intelligent life. https://lco.global/spacebook/astrobiology/when-did-life-develop-and-what-were-conditions-early-earth/#:~:text=Some scientists claim life developed,recycled into the Earth's crust. The first irrefutable examples of life on Earth arose around 2.7 billion years ago. Some scientists claim life developed as long ago as 3.5 billion years. This is difficult to study and even more difficult to prove or disprove because rocks on Earth are weathered and recycled into the Earth’s crust. Rocks from so long ago are very difficult to find and only a few have been discovered. The early Earth’s atmosphere had a very low concentration of oxygen compared to today. 2.4 billion years ago, the oxygen concentration in the atmosphere was less than one part per billion and the iron concentration in the ocean was much higher than today. Starting 3 billion years ago and lasting for at least a billion years, soluble iron (Fe2+) in the ocean collected any freely available oxygen, and formed ferric iron (Fe3+) which is a solid, also known as rust. Eventually most of the iron in the oceans was depleted and the oxygen level in the atmosphere and in the water began to slowly increase. After about a billion years, the oxygen level had reached a few percent of the total atmospheric pressure. Then about 500 million years ago, there was a relatively rapid increase in the atmospheric oxygen content. This began when an ancient relative of cyanobacteria evolved the ability to use sunlight and water for photosynthesis, creating oxygen as a by-product. Over the next few hundred million years, the oxygen content in the atmosphere rose to nearly its current value of 18%. Until this development, all life on Earth must have existed either under at least several centimeters of water or underground. The ozone layer, which blocks most of the damaging ultraviolet light from the Sun, did not exist, so any organism on the surface of the Earth would have been killed by the ultraviolet light. As the oxygen content of the atmosphere increased, the ozone layer formed and began to shield the surface of the Earth from the harmful ultraviolet light. This allowed life forms to evolve to survive on the surface of the oceans and on land, and also allowed organisms who metabolize oxygen (like us!) to develop.

I think Sandy caused $60 billion in damage.

I think you mean 1938 not 1983

wow can you recheck that please....I thought we got down into the 30s in May 1992, not sure of the day.....but I remember the low was 39 in NYC and 37 at JFK (and 36 here just east of JFK) It was cloudy as I recall it with temps in the 40s for most of the day and even snow flurries in Morristown. May 1996 we had a heavy frost here on Long Island on the 14th (Monday morning), and a low of 33-34. Had 1-3 inches of snow in the Poconos after severe wx and a frontal passage, some trees snapped and came down during the snow.

Lots of amazing stuff being done to eliminate the food deserts in NYC.

why does this kind of weather still even exist in May? I want global temps to warm by 10C so this is gone forever.

No I'm talking about greenery on top of buildings and the community gardens and urban farming are actually places in Queens and the Bronx where people are growing their own food to get away from the processed crap that passes for "food" these days. https://www.nybg.org/gardens/bronx-green-up/urban-farming-community-gardening/ Thanks to things like this, people never have to eat diabetes and obesity causing crap anymore.

with all the technology and chemicals we have how come we haven't discovered something that blocks the production of pollen? this much is a health hazard even if we could only block just 50% of it, that would be great

I wonder how cold tomorrow will be

Lake Mead wont be able to provide water after a few more years....it'll probably happen by 2030.

Thanks, when will we get to the point where cloud cover wont matter and warming will accelerate to the point that we'll have several 100 degree days each year? I heard that might happen by 2050 and we'll have an Atlanta type of climate by then. At some point carbon dioxide and methane forcing will break the cap that clouding provides and we'll enter new territory.

we're doing green in NYC too. Glad to see it, get rid of that concrete crap and replace it with community gardens for healthier food in the food deserts too. I heard we have 65 bee farms in Manhattan, bees are doing well here because of the lack of pesticides.

Chris, can you do one for monthly rainfall patterns? That would be interesting to see too. Also can you a break down, monthly avg maxes vs monthly avg mins? Thanks!

Don, interesting that the average of the 3 analogs that had a warm last week of May were warmer at NYC than they were at PHL. And the only one of the 4 that was cooler still hit 90 in May! How is it possible for a week that has a 90 degree temp in May to end up below normal? And do you think we might get our first 90 before May ends?