LibertyBell

these kinds of storms typically produce the most historic totals, not the dynamic ones

this is supposed to be a good thing right, there was a massive drought with widespread wildfires there last summer...interesting to see 89-90 and many years from the 2000s on this list

wheres that semipermanent SE Ridge when we need it

wasnt this also the case with the early Feb 2010 event? a notorious and perhaps the most infamous suppressed storm, this one is like a flurry compared to that behemoth

we're already in the blue by then, should be good for a couple of inches here

I'm about as south as you can get and still be in NY state so it looks like we could get something here.

370 days without measurable snow in DC is close to breaking the record, so that one definitely isn't an "offshore" storm it's merely a midatlantic special, which means here on the south shore of Long Island, we can still get something out of it- I knew there was going to be a positive of being in the southern portion of the forum one of these days lol. fyi I'm actually rooting for DC not to have any measurable snow, because 11 more days and it will break their all time record for lack of measurable snowfall.

any ideas about the pattern going forward, Walt? I have been reading that the pattern should warm up again after Feb 2 (Groundhog Day!) but there could be another cold down sometime around Valentine's Day or around President's Day and that might last a week or two also?

that Thursday event is going to break DC's 370 day plus measurable snowless streak?

yes that is the advantage of elevation, you never see that sort of snow at the coast. at elevation it can even snow in bad patterns....lake effect country is the same way. So the total was 3.2 from the other day and 2.0 from yesterday, Walt?

what does the cone of uncertainty look like?

I have a feeling some will be up for the 00z runs tonight

I guess it depends on where the 100 mile change occurs. Why dont we have cones of uncertainty for winter storms too lol

two storms that come to mind are Boxing Day 2010 and the Feb 2006 HECS

we were the local jackpot on Long Island with 0.7 inches of snow lol. Looks like my other home got 3.2 inches and I was able to confirm that when I drove there (and they were in the middle of a blinding snow squall yesterday!)

heh because of errors of measurement they should just round it to 30 and leave it at that..... we dont have a tenth of an inch of precision when it comes to measuring snowfall.

but the mix line probably wont make it farther north than the central Jersey coast?

Are you a relative of Megatron? If so, we dont allow Decepticons here, sorry.

that whole conversation was like something out of the Twilight Zone

isnt that sort of an omega block?

rapid increase in winter time temps and also rapid increase of high precip events. and not just much lower ice coverage in the Arctic you're also seeing that on the Great Lakes now.

then again it's probably better that this happened in the winter rather than the summer....could you imagine summers getting that extreme? I love my 100 degree days but no way would I want that to happen every week!

what's keeping the second storm from riding up the coast, Don?

Sounds right lol. I noticed that when I do night time photography of the stars I have to adjust my timings to account for the "sidereal day" which is the time between when the stars will be at the same position in the skies as they were the previous day- the sidereal day is 23 hr 56 min long, so the stars reach the same position in the sky as they were the previous night, four minutes earlier. The reason for this discrepancy is because both the rotation and revolution of the earth need to be factored in. Maybe the solar days are slightly longer in the winter in the Northern Hemisphere because the earth is actually closest to the sun in January, which is winter for us, but in the Southern Hemisphere winter happens in July, when the earth is furthest from the sun.

had the same here in SW Nassau....was rather surprised to see everything snow covered!