LibertyBell

Did we have winds similar to that in Boxing Day 2010? I remember something like 80 mph winds out on the Cape and 70 mph on Long Island.

It's fine being a warminista but the confounding part is going into threads and celebrating the misery of other people. It has to be some kind of trauma like you said.

And it's quite possible that a huge event like this could alter the pattern in such a way as to blunt the warm up....it's happened before with big storms that affected the pattern that occurred after them for days, sometimes even a week or more.

Big hockey night right here if you've joined the party OL!

Oh, so that explains the helmet he's wearing!

anything to get snowman19 off our backs Ray....glad you don't have him in your subforum lol, the guy tries to downplay every "threat" and now he's talking about an all out torch for February, getting a big one at the end of January would probably keep him quiet for a few.

Yeah I like the idea of a Low track between say Block Island and Nantucket....let's see if that happens.

It won't go "a lot" there isn't enough time for that.... but getting it just inside the BM should be doable.

But the snowfall numbers seem to have gone up. the furthest west this can go is likely over the eastern end of LI....I dont think it gets that far west (thats where the westernmost ensemble members are on the new Euro), but just inside or right over the BM is probably more likely than going east of the BM.....remember the stronger this gets the more likely it is to be on the western side of the ensembles.

the furthest west this can go is likely over the eastern end of LI....I dont think it gets that far west, but just inside or right over the BM is probably more likely than going east of the BM.....remember the stronger this gets the more likely it is to be on the western side of the ensembles.

yup 5 days to go and there is a usual trend west with these. 20 miles per day for 5 days? I can walk that distance

Nothing really keeping it from moving 100 miles west at least-- and with 5 days to go, it probably will.

Uhm if they occur mostly at night there's nothing worth seeing.

Looks like this might be big out this way too. Someone in the NYC forum said it has a Feb 1978 feel to it and I compared it to Boxing Day 2010

This now introduces mixing into SE MA doesn't it?

More like Boxing Day but granted I dont remember 2/78 outside of seeing a lot of white outside

This could trend towards a Boxing Day type event, there is nothing really keeping it from going even further west.

Well at least they are a real NY team. the NJ teams are total failures lol

Looks like B&W TV

SE Ridge is your friend

where is that SE ridge that's supposed to be a permanent feature of our new climate? In theory at least OTS storms should be way less common because of how much stronger it is compared to previous decades in a warmer climate and with warmer Atlantic SST.

I thought it's the benchmark for everyone?

Yup as did the city. It happens over and over again, I think it's because urbanized areas can't experience that kind of extreme snowfall event so late in the season.....too much concrete.

Long live 2002 and 2010!

It's not that, it's purely statistical based on how rare double digit snowstorms are in a hostile pattern. And where I live double digit snowstorms no longer happen in March. I would say that from now until the end of the season the chance of a 10 inch snowstorm are less than 10 percent. 6 inches? Maybe 25 percent 4-6 inch storms are a different beast altogether and can happen in any pattern. It's why I specifically referred to double digit snowstorms as being extremely unlikely, not the smaller ones.