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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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So the actual numbers never seem to rise as much as the decade to decade change. I wonder if at some point the 30 yr norms will rise at a heightened pace.
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which decade has represented the greatest rise in temperatures, Chris? was it this one? I mean this most recent one that ended
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I dont think this will ever change regardless of what ENSO state we're in.
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2021-2022 ENSO
LibertyBell replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
looks like next winter will be a neutral? I think most of the snow season is done on the east coast, so just looking back on it, looks like above normal snowfall occurred Philly on north while it was below normal Baltimore on south. -
Yeah this is what happens when you dont abide by federal regulations, they are there for a reason.
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nuclear+renewables is the best combo. I see we now have automated vehicles mining for materials at the sea floor, so this should lessen the carbon footprint you mentioned. Thats why I think the pandemic sounded the death knell for the fossil fuel cartels, it was nature's way of fighting back against the virus that is humanity and its overpopulation of the planet which has destroyed the environment and resulted in a mass extinction event for most other species. We've reached a tipping point and once any species becomes too dominant, it goes bye bye or gets severely reduced- that's how the system is built to work. To "beat" this system and reach a new overhead, you'll eventually have to colonize space. Hence all the investment in space going on by billionaires.
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I'd muchhhhhhhhhhhhhh rather have the snowy February than the "snowy" March When was the last time we had 20" of snow in March lol. Interesting with over 2 ft of snow this February and it's still only the 5th snowiest since 2003. Of course we should also include the 2" that fell on February 1 eve but that's another story. How come 2014-15 isn't on either of these lists? That had a nice JFM combo!
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Yeah just hearing him talk about enso makes me want to dump all the plastic in the world right into the Pacific and end enso forever so no one ever uses it anymore because the Pacific Ocean is just a big heaping pile of trash.
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My favorite was March 2009, with March 2015 right behind it.
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Possible Major Winter Storm/Coastal 3/6 - 3/8
LibertyBell replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
also after 1983 8 inches was a big deal and until 1993 -
Possible Major Winter Storm/Coastal 3/6 - 3/8
LibertyBell replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
That April storm was my favorite, even though the late March event had more snow (the April storm was 6" pure snow while the late March storm was 8" slop changing to snow.) -
Possible Major Winter Storm/Coastal 3/6 - 3/8
LibertyBell replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
it's also all this damned urbanization. Hopefully the green movement gets rid of the concrete. -
media coverage of the mountains is frustratingly bad. Watch NEP or any of the other networks and they behave like the mountains dont even exist in their forecasts or that they're only a place to go skiing not where people actually live lol. Snowcover is actually closer to 30" I'll be posting some pics, I just have to sort through them. edit I cant post a 4.4 mb image?
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also probably the worst noreaster of all time for NYC and Long Island. Although I think 1888 and 1922 might also be in the running.
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I would bet it's the first time since 1993-94 which was their record winter.
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Wait 1977 had three heat waves peaking over 100 degrees? Oh I wasn't talking about 1966, I wish I was alive then that would've been my favorite summer of all time (before 2010 of course.)
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The Sahara desert is shrinking? Where do you get this crap fake science from dude? The Sahara Desert is EXPANDING because of long term drought. Farming is exploding? Yeah if by exploding you mean that it's getting blown up that is DESTROYED. The new climate regime is causing massive floods in the heartland and farmers in red states have admitted that if climate change is allowed to continue they'll be out of business. and LOL at more CO2 means more food. This is a high level of ignorance right here, more CO2 actually means LESS nutritious food and more climate migrations that's why you have people at your Southern border trying to get in because the places they used to live in became unlivable because they can no longer grow food there. And now it's YOUR responsibility to take care of them.
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lol the WSJ is disgusting, no wonder everyone hates wall street outside of the corrupt conglomerates. Elsewhere I found this: https://www.wsj.com/articles/californias-climate-contradictions-11614381973?mod=trending_now_opn_4 The state requires renewables like wind and solar to make up 60% of electricity generation by 2030. The study says renewable prices (albeit with subsidies) are now roughly the same as other power sources, but utilities signed long-term contracts with solar and wind producers years ago when prices were higher. Utilities also need backup power when it’s cloudy, which adds costs. Yet the state sometimes has to pay Arizona to take its excess solar power to avoid overloading the grid. And here’s the kicker: Folks with solar panels get paid for surplus power they don’t use—sometimes at two to three times the rate of wholesale power. So California pays the well-to-do to generate solar power it doesn’t need and then pays Arizona to take it. LOL so they ignore the 5 TRILLION in subsidies the corrupt fossil fuel cartels get, which is 10x more than we fund education in this country, which is on purpose, they want people to be so dumb they cant do basic math and so they believe the lies they spout at them. Elsewhere in their editorials they are whining about "How could a nice guy like Trump lose this election" etc etc, just to show you how out of touch the WSJ is with reality. I honestly hope they go bankrupt along with the corrupt fossil fuel cartels, and the subsidies are coming to an end now and it's about time.
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Here's some real numbers for you, wind power only accounts for 10% of the power there so how is it that half the state was without power, so either they are too dumb to understand basic math or they are corrupt and lying- I say it's both. In addition to that they're conveniently burying the fact that they dont go by federal regulations and find the cheap way out- which now ironically will cost them even more.
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One of the positive aspects of the pandemic has been that it's now likely that it has killed the fossil fuel cartels. Even the corrupt cartels admit that their best days are now behind them and are going into renewable and letting go of their labor force. Sometimes these things are necessary to prevent even greater damage down the line.
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here's a bunch of info to educate them, lol I wouldn't read anything coming out of Texas, a state rife with ignorance and corruption. https://earther.gizmodo.com/grassroots-groups-just-won-a-major-victory-against-frac-1846364674?utm_source=earther_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=2021-02-26 A group of governors passed a resolution that would ban fracking near a crucial waterway on the East Coast, the culmination of more than a decade-long fight by activists and community members. The Delaware River Basin Commission (DRBC), which is comprised of the governors of New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, and New York, ruled unanimously on Thursday not to allow fracking within the Delaware River Basin region. The ban, which covers 13,539 square miles (35,065 square kilometers) between the four states, includes two counties in the Marcellus Shale region in Pennsylvania, where fracking has exploded over the past decade. The Delaware River Basin provides drinking water for around 13 million people in the region—around 5% of the entire U.S. population, including New York City and Philadelphia—and supports around 600,000 jobs and $10 billion in wages from industries like tourism, ports, and farming. The watershed also provides habitat for hundreds of species of animals and fish. “If [industry] dug all those wells, if they put in all those pipelines to carry it to market, this wild and scenic river—one of the most beautiful and free-flowing rivers in the Northeast—would have all been destroyed,” said Jeff Tittel, the director of the New Jersey Sierra Club. “You would have taken the Delaware Valley and turned it into the Permian Basin.” https://earther.gizmodo.com/huge-review-of-frackings-health-hazards-will-help-commu-1835903428 https://www.politifact.com/rhode-island/statements/2016/jan/24/environmental-justice-league-ri-environmental-just/could-fracking-be-worse-climate-coal/ https://earther.gizmodo.com/something-else-to-avoid-when-you-re-pregnant-fracking-1821264078 https://secureservercdn.net/166.62.112.150/ejr.4eb.myftpupload.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/CHPNY-PSR-Fracking-Science-Compendium-7_20210219.pdf https://concernedhealthny.org/compendium/ https://earther.gizmodo.com/new-bill-would-ban-fracking-in-california-by-2027-1846305931 https://earther.gizmodo.com/shell-says-it-has-reached-peak-oil-production-1846248229?utm_source=earther_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=2021-02-26 https://earther.gizmodo.com/our-best-energy-solution-could-hurt-biodiversity-if-we-1844914402 https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-beginning-of-the-end-of-the-plastic-era-is-here-1844948163 https://earther.gizmodo.com/bp-says-weve-already-reached-peak-oil-1845064372 https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/jul/14/biofuels-need-to-be-improved-for-battle-against-climate-change https://earther.gizmodo.com/a-fight-over-a-false-solution-is-at-the-center-of-madri-1840311268 https://earther.gizmodo.com/un-scientists-draft-a-build-back-better-climate-plan-1845790519 https://earther.gizmodo.com/even-good-news-comes-with-bad-news-1840029942 https://earther.gizmodo.com/unprecedented-conditions-will-rule-the-oceans-by-midcen-1838422187 https://earther.gizmodo.com/humans-have-transformed-70-percent-of-land-on-earth-we-1837045976 https://earther.gizmodo.com/everything-is-****ed-major-new-extinction-report-finds-1834547635 https://earther.gizmodo.com/un-report-shows-the-world-needs-to-cut-emissions-78-per-1840046835 https://earther.gizmodo.com/even-good-news-comes-with-bad-news-1840029942 https://earther.gizmodo.com/building-all-the-fossil-fuel-projects-already-in-the-pi-1839949666 https://earther.gizmodo.com/we-have-a-decade-to-prevent-a-total-climate-disaster-1829585748 https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-uk-just-got-more-power-from-renewables-than-fossil-1839034441 https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-uk-just-got-more-power-from-renewables-than-fossil-1839034441 https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-most-polluting-state-in-the-northeast-just-joined-a-1838753433 https://earther.gizmodo.com/we-may-have-been-thinking-about-a-carbon-price-all-wron-1838662832 https://earther.gizmodo.com/a-million-black-americans-face-health-risks-from-living-1820407774 https://earther.gizmodo.com/un-scientists-draft-a-build-back-better-climate-plan-1845790519 https://earther.gizmodo.com/every-major-bank-has-now-ruled-out-funding-arctic-drill-1845782346 https://earther.gizmodo.com/exxon-continues-unprecedented-tumble-1845781956 https://earther.gizmodo.com/exxon-continues-unprecedented-tumble-1845781956 https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-green-new-deal-didnt-sink-democrats-1845619942?_ga=2.89260696.2005063955.1606741381-1992755575.1604461226 https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-congressman-biden-tapped-to-liaise-with-climate-act-1845697365 https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/apr/29/fate-of-vaca-muerta-oil-and-gas-fields-may-point-way-forward-on-fossil-fuels-after-coronavirus https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dead-cow-oil-play-set-155931929.html https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/apr/28/un-chief-dont-use-taxpayer-money-to-save-polluting-industries https://earther.gizmodo.com/exxon-continues-unprecedented-tumble-1845781956 https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-pandemic-could-wipe-20-of-exxon-s-oil-and-gas-rese-1844649010 https://earther.gizmodo.com/big-oil-has-never-lost-this-much-money-1844571705 https://earther.gizmodo.com/exxon-just-got-dethroned-as-the-top-u-s-energy-company-1845313631 https://www.reuters.com/article/us-exxon-mobil-dividend/exxon-mobil-to-keep-dividend-flat-for-first-time-since-1982-idUSKBN27D3B0 https://earther.gizmodo.com/exxon-pays-off-shareholders-lays-off-workers-1845521977 https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2019/01/10/how-fossil-fuel-industry-got-media-think-climate-change-was-debatable/ https://twitter.com/zhaabowekwe/status/1359708090896154624 https://twitter.com/ziibiing/status/1359589054929645572 https://truthout.org/articles/ilhan-omar-asks-biden-to-cancel-controversial-enbridge-pipeline-in-minnesota/ https://earther.gizmodo.com/stopping-keystone-xl-has-to-be-just-the-start-1846094578 https://earther.gizmodo.com/facebook-is-letting-a-pipeline-company-run-ads-while-mu-1846247372 https://earther.gizmodo.com/cbp-drones-conducted-flyovers-near-homes-of-indigenous-1845104576 https://gizmodo.com/dhs-is-spying-on-social-media-to-track-threats-to-statu-1844458110?_ga=2.234768222.1102804335.1614511034-913338681.1614227427 https://earther.gizmodo.com/criminalizing-protests-is-a-dangerous-idea-1842624019?_ga=2.217897493.2038177522.1597711241-1235440877.1594384300 https://earther.gizmodo.com/bp-says-weve-already-reached-peak-oil-1845064372 https://earther.gizmodo.com/judge-shuts-down-dakota-access-pipeline-1844278957 https://earther.gizmodo.com/keystone-xl-is-blocked-for-now-but-the-scotus-ruling-h-1844293640 https://earther.gizmodo.com/these-5-oil-and-gas-pipelines-are-the-next-to-face-trou-1844308553 https://earther.gizmodo.com/tribes-across-the-midwest-are-gearing-up-for-a-big-new-1820338774 https://mn.gov/eera/web/project-file?legacyPath=/opt/documents/34079/All FEIS Text.pdf https://gizmodo.com/customs-and-border-protection-flew-a-predator-surveilla-1843758034?_ga=2.267718606.1102804335.1614511034-913338681.1614227427 https://theintercept.com/2019/08/25/border-patrol-israel-elbit-surveillance https://theintercept.com/2019/01/30/enbridge-line-3-pipeline-minnesota https://earther.gizmodo.com/two-years-after-confessing-dakota-access-protestors-ch-1838783498 https://earther.gizmodo.com/a-record-number-of-environmentalists-were-murdered-in-2-1844543894 https://earther.gizmodo.com/nearly-70-activists-arrested-attempting-to-steal-coal-f-1838541561 https://theintercept.com/2017/12/11/standing-rock-dakota-access-pipeline-fbi-informant-red-fawn-fallis/ https://earther.gizmodo.com/new-un-climate-report-puts-the-world-on-red-alert-for-c-1846363339?utm_source=earther_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=2021-02-26 https://earther.gizmodo.com/un-warns-world-is-failing-to-prepare-for-climate-change-1846053810 https://theconversation.com/phantom-of-the-forest-after-100-years-in-hiding-i-rediscovered-the-rare-cloaked-bee-in-australia-156026 https://earther.gizmodo.com/new-report-reveals-the-shocking-toll-bushfires-took-on-1844529556 https://earther.gizmodo.com/bushfires-are-obliterating-the-cultural-memory-of-austr-1840933953 https://earther.gizmodo.com/striking-australian-bee-spotted-for-first-time-in-a-cen-1846363441?utm_source=earther_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=2021-02-26 https://earther.gizmodo.com/genius-bees-force-plants-to-bloom-by-biting-them-1843611907 https://science.sciencemag.org/content/367/6478/685 have a look at some of these articles- interesting stuff https://earther.gizmodo.com/how-climate-change-could-bring-about-the-next-great-rec-1841772236 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0182-1 https://earther.gizmodo.com/cutting-fossil-fuel-subsidies-could-be-even-more-benefi-1841500311 https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesellsmoor/2019/06/15/united-states-spend-ten-times-more-on-fossil-fuel-subsidies-than-education/#46cf1d494473 https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-world-blows-over-5-trillion-a-year-on-oil-and-gas-1834624546 https://www.theclimategroup.org/news/climate-change-biggest-market-failure-history-and-must-be-tackled-spur-growth-finance-and https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2019/05/02/Global-Fossil-Fuel-Subsidies-Remain-Large-An-Update-Based-on-Country-Level-Estimates-46509 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-019-1920-x.epdf?author_access_token=SjUTjrtDbCtKRGtQgVAN1tRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0Mv5JGKl3gtKAeEYJVTQuBQ6wZJ1rmD9b0cEKcS34GxBxr6Ea9gZYL3E_Q61vEj7kg4BNlEaLi4zToksif-Tllk_KEi7aCEkEkEVkhg1sHyrg%3D%3D https://earther.gizmodo.com/exxon-predicted-2019-s-ominous-co2-milestone-in-1982-1834748763 The Nature piece indicates that the fossil fuel cartels are going to lose a ton of money over the next 10 years. Big banks and other large financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo fund most of these damaging projects so hopefully they'll be taking a big hit too. https://earther.gizmodo.com/alaska-natives-demanded-goldman-sachs-not-fund-arctic-d-1840462387 https://earther.gizmodo.com/shell-says-it-has-reached-peak-oil-production-1846248229?utm_source=earther_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=2021-02-26 Shell says oil is on its way out. In a Thursday statement, the fossil fuel giant said its “oil production peaked in 2019,” and that we can now expect it to decline gradually by 1 or 2% per year. Shell also said its total carbon emissions peaked in 2018 at 1.7 gigatonnes. The statement doesn’t come as a total surprise. The oil market has been in decline for years, and since the covid-19 pandemic began last year, fuel prices went from bad to catastrophically bad. Last Fall, the International Energy Agency predicted a “treacherous” path ahead for the industry. And in September, fellow energy giant BP said the world may have already reached peak oil. Shell’s own CFO hinted at the announcement in May when she told investors the company has experienced “major demand destruction that we don’t even know will come back,” and soon after, Shell wrote down $22 billion on its balance sheets. But still, this is the first time it’s made an outright announcement of this kind. https://earther.gizmodo.com/bp-says-weve-already-reached-peak-oil-1845064372 BP is saying the quiet part loud: In the 2020 Energy Outlook report the energy giant published this week, it said that the world may have reached peak oil. The covid-19 pandemic has done a serious number on the oil industry, with demand falling to historic lows amid lockdowns and prices falling into negative territory. In a report on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency warned that for the oil industry, the “path ahead is treacherous,” reducing its forecast for global oil demand in 2020 by 200,000 barrels per day. And on Monday, OPEC lowered its predictions of demand in 2020 by 400,000 barrels per day. In BP’s new report, analysts said the market may never recover from this damage. The authors lay out three possible scenarios for the world’s energy usage between now and 2050, which illustrate a rapid, moderate, and slow transition to renewables. The first two scenarios show demand for oil steeply falling over the next three decades. But even under the firm’s most “optimistic” scenario for Big Oil where climate action doesn’t accelerate, oil demand will plateau at 2019 levels before declining in 2035. The report forecasts that while oil demand falls, there will be increased demand for non-fossil-based power. In 2018, fossil fuels currently made up 85% of the world’s energy demand, but by 2050, that could decline to between 20% and 70%, depending on policymakers’ choices. Renewables will make up the difference. As a result, in every scenario BP analysts mapped out, the proportion of renewable energy use will increase more quickly than any fossil-based fuel ever has. Along with the covid-19 pandemic, the report predicts that increased use of electric vehicles will further dent the world’s demand for oil. International policies to limit the use of plastic, which is made of oil, are also expected to drive demand down even further despite some fossil fuel companies betting big on plastic as a savior. https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-beginning-of-the-end-of-the-plastic-era-is-here-1844948163 https://earther.gizmodo.com/exxon-continues-unprecedented-tumble-1845781956 When the fossil fuel industry finally winds down in the coming decades, 2020 will stand as a pivotal year. Major corporations have been knocked off their pedestals, and there’s no bigger fall than Exxon’s. Late on Monday, the company announced it was writing down the value of oil and gas fields it had previously planned to develop by as much as $20 billion. It’s the biggest such writedown in Exxon’s history and indicative of the immense pressure the pandemic and resultant economic slowdown have put on the company and the oil industry at-large. In the announcement, the company also said it would spend less on exploration, which makes sense given the huge drop in oil demand. It had previously planned to drop $30 billion on exploration and other capital expenditures every year through 2025. https://earther.gizmodo.com/climate-rage-is-working-1839063173 https://earther.gizmodo.com/this-springs-flooding-crisis-is-part-of-a-bigger-patter-1835092237 https://earther.gizmodo.com/this-springs-flooding-crisis-is-part-of-a-bigger-patter-1835092237 https://popula.com/2019/08/19/the-case-for-climate-rage/ http://theguardian.com/environment/2019/jul/05/biggest-compliment-yet-greta-thunberg-welcomes-oil-chiefs-greatest-threat-label https://theintercept.com/2018/12/08/shell-oil-executive-boasts-that-his-company-influenced-the-paris-agreement/ https://theintercept.com/2018/12/08/shell-oil-executive-boasts-that-his-company-influenced-the-paris-agreement/ https://earther.gizmodo.com/protestors-shout-down-us-pro-fossil-fuel-events-at-inte-1830980217 https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-time-for-talk-is-over-kids-stage-major-strike-at-u-1831107203
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this sounds familiar- didn't we also have this in January before the storms started piling in later in the month?
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it's another one of those corrupt corporate tools now. They hiked up prices for accessing WU data and most of my third party programs can no longer afford to work with WU data anymore.
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Aside from the lack of extreme cold here, this winter has some storm track and storm strength similarities to 93-94, and precip type variability like that season too. I'd say this winter was a weird mix of 93-94 and 06-07. Both of those winters had snow or sleet events in March, so I'd say there is some hope for us to get to 40" even at JFK. One 6" event will do it. I dont think we'll get an April event this year as this is a 11 yr hot summer cycle and these usually start heating up in April but I wouldn't be shocked if we ended up with a 4-8 inch snowfall at any point in March. Wait 1977 had the May snow and was part of the 11 yr hot summer cycle so I guess anything's possible (even though that summer wasn't really hot, it had an extreme 2 week stretch when it hit 104 in late July, our 2nd hottest NYC temp on record, later tied in late July 2011.)
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Possible Major Winter Storm/Coastal 3/6 - 3/8
LibertyBell replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
I've enjoyed April snow a lot more than March snow......4/82, 4/96, 4/03 and 4/18 were all great here.