LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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This is why our largest storms were first forecast to miss our area to the south.and east. See Feb 1983, Jan 1996, PD2, Boxing Day 2010 and Jan 2016
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It's probably not going to be that far east either, so expect more trending west. 12 inches plus here as is here in SW Nassau, but I want the 20 inch plus totals.
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Thats how they develop an eye-- it's what happened in Feb 1978 Storm surge too
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backside snow
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We want it to trend a little further west to get in on the good stuff (by good I mean 20 inches plus). Here in SW Nassau I would like it to go 100 miles further west- a track between Block Island and Nantucket would be ideal.
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You actually want some to go west of LI to ensure this wont go too far east of us. I want a track between Block Island and Nantucket. How many of the ensembles go west of 40/70?
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No one remembers that storm....the only storm from Jan 2015 that most remember is the 10 incher that was supposed to be a 30 incher
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We had rain at the beginning here with that one, that wont be the case this time around. If that storm was all snow here it would have easily been 20 inches plus
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No more like Boxing Day 2010 Go with that analog
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Imagine what that would have been like on a BM track.....still waiting on a triple phaser to get that done, maybe one day. -
Did we have winds similar to that in Boxing Day 2010? I remember something like 80 mph winds out on the Cape and 70 mph on Long Island.
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It's fine being a warminista but the confounding part is going into threads and celebrating the misery of other people. It has to be some kind of trauma like you said.
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And it's quite possible that a huge event like this could alter the pattern in such a way as to blunt the warm up....it's happened before with big storms that affected the pattern that occurred after them for days, sometimes even a week or more.
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Big hockey night right here if you've joined the party OL!
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Oh, so that explains the helmet he's wearing!
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anything to get snowman19 off our backs Ray....glad you don't have him in your subforum lol, the guy tries to downplay every "threat" and now he's talking about an all out torch for February, getting a big one at the end of January would probably keep him quiet for a few.
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Yeah I like the idea of a Low track between say Block Island and Nantucket....let's see if that happens.
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It won't go "a lot" there isn't enough time for that.... but getting it just inside the BM should be doable.
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But the snowfall numbers seem to have gone up. the furthest west this can go is likely over the eastern end of LI....I dont think it gets that far west (thats where the westernmost ensemble members are on the new Euro), but just inside or right over the BM is probably more likely than going east of the BM.....remember the stronger this gets the more likely it is to be on the western side of the ensembles.
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the furthest west this can go is likely over the eastern end of LI....I dont think it gets that far west, but just inside or right over the BM is probably more likely than going east of the BM.....remember the stronger this gets the more likely it is to be on the western side of the ensembles.
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yup 5 days to go and there is a usual trend west with these. 20 miles per day for 5 days? I can walk that distance
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Nothing really keeping it from moving 100 miles west at least-- and with 5 days to go, it probably will.
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Uhm if they occur mostly at night there's nothing worth seeing.
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Looks like this might be big out this way too. Someone in the NYC forum said it has a Feb 1978 feel to it and I compared it to Boxing Day 2010
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This now introduces mixing into SE MA doesn't it?
