LibertyBell

I think it's gotten worse actually-- I remember back in December 2009 it was good out to 48 hours.

I've been saying this for years! The first step towards geoengineering.

Thanks! I was thinking that too. North America is much narrower than Eurasia is (it's really one continent!) Western Europe has a similar influence from the Atlantic like the West Coast of North America has from the Pacific, but with all that extra land mass before that air gets to eastern Asia, its influence is much diminished.

I had to do a doubletake when I saw those last two images, they look like a person having a really bad day....

that was a mixed precip event here though. They don't tend to be all snow here.

Does the Pac dominate the Atl because the Pacific is much larger or is it because of weather moving west to east (or both?) I ask this because I don't think it's all about west to east, because for example the Atlantic never wrecks the big snow totals for Japan (like Sapporo or Aomori, which is the snowiest city on the planet-- they average 320 inches or 26 feet of snow every year!) So maybe it's because the Pacific is so huge that it controls the weather of the entire planet?

https://www.pivotalweather.com/eclipse2024/?m=cmceens&p=cloudcover_tle_4-mean&r=us_state_ny I posted the Canadian ensemble model for cloud cover because Pivotal says it's the best we have. I just have a hard time believing there will only be 5-10% of cloud cover for the eclipse, that's weird for early April. The Canadian ensemble (CMCE) runs twice daily, with new maps typically available by 4:00 AM and PM EDT (1:00 PDT). Its forecasts for cloud cover are the most nuanced and realistic available on this page.

why don't we ever get a cutoff with 3 days of snow? In my life, I've never seen it-- only 3 days of rain (like December 1992).

https://www.pivotalweather.com/eclipse2024/?m=cmceens&p=cloudcover_tle_4-mean&r=us_state_ny I posted the Canadian ensemble for cloud cover because Pivotal says it's the best model we have for cloud cover. I just find it hard to believe we could only have 5-10 percent of cloud cover in early April. The Canadian ensemble (CMCE) runs twice daily, with new maps typically available by 4:00 AM and PM EDT (1:00 PDT). Its forecasts for cloud cover are the most nuanced and realistic available on this page.

Pivotal also mentions that the Canadian is the most accurate for cloud cover predictions, but I find it --REALLY-- hard to believe that cloud cover up here will only be 5-10%. That almost never happens in April. https://www.pivotalweather.com/eclipse2024/?m=cmceens&p=cloudcover_tle_4-mean&r=us_state_ny The Canadian ensemble (CMCE) runs twice daily, with new maps typically available by 4:00 AM and PM EDT (1:00 PDT). Its forecasts for cloud cover are the most nuanced and realistic available on this page. The American ensemble (NCEP GEFS) runs four times daily, with new maps available every 6 hours. Its forecasts for cloud cover can tend to overestimate coverage where the sky will only be partly cloudy, while its precipitation forecasts are realistic and useful.

This is from Pivotal Weather. They say that the Canadian Emsemble is the most accurate for cloud cover forecasting, so that can be selected from this page. NWS blend of models seems to favor the Canadian too, as the GFS Ensemble has a forecast for more cloud cover than the blend does. I selected New York for my state, but any state or the entire CONUS can be selected on this page. https://www.pivotalweather.com/eclipse2024/?m=gefsens&p=cloudcover_tle_4-mean&r=us_state_ny https://www.pivotalweather.com/eclipse2024/?m=gefsens&p=cloudcover_tle_4-mean&r=us_state_ny

TWC is showing both GFS and Euro cloud forecasts, I didn't even know the Euro had a cloud forecast, I certainly can't find it on pivotalweather.

I hesitate to ask this-- but does this change the forecast for eclipse time on Monday? There's been so many changes in the last few days.

Thanks, were any of those monthly records, Tony?

Great minds-- I was thinking the same thing lol. I just didn't know if he did it on purpose or if it was some sort of Freudian slip lol

picture perfect day and the birds have been singing all day long

Weenies or weeklies lol

I recall December 2005 as one of the more infamous examples of this.... zero snow here and the LGA got 3" and NYC got 6"

too bad, I guess that storm that trended further east at the end was what prevented it from happening.

It's funny, I heard it rain hard for maybe 10 minutes, and then everything went silent.

They're pretty good for Suffolk County and the north shore sometimes back to the city. The screw zone is usually us on the south shore, especially the western part back to central NJ. I think your climate is very similar to my climate, in that I see the same storms screw north central NJ that hurt me here in SW Nassau County.

But he's been right about that so I guess it is lol

and of course snowman19. He was actually more gungho about February and he ended up being right about the one decent snowfall we did get, which was in February.

and also its patterns.

this is the south based block Chris has been talking about