LibertyBell

It's going to be cutting it close for the eclipse. I noticed the Euro is much cloudier for the entire path of totality (including up here in the NE) than the GFS is.

I noticed the Euro has much more cloudiness along the path of totality including up here in the northeast.

high winds and lots of coastal flooding too

it sounds like a repeat of those weird 1950s years Take a look at some of those years with very hot summers and lots of east coast tropical activity. In the 90s and afterwards, usually a strong WAR has meant TCs get steered to Florida or the GOM-- you think it will be more like the 1950s rather than the 1990s and since then?

Probably too late for coastal New England too, unless you're up in Maine.

The best thing about a big storm in this time period is that things will clear out just in time for the eclipse. All signs point to ridge building and nice warm sunny weather the following week for the northeast.

That's exactly what I said yesterday lol

Yea, this time of year is the hardest to predict. It's like trying to predict where a rain/snow line will be lol.

Man, your description really makes me wish eclipses happened more often. I like this idea by the ESA of artificially creating eclipses using satellites they will be launching later this year. I know nature is always best, but if humans can make them happen more often using satellites, it should be done. Such an awe inspiring experience!

I'm noticing the warmer ocean is really affecting Logan, while locations to the west and northwest of there have much higher snowfall totals.

I just looked too, and there isn't even one coming back down after the eclipse on the same day lol. So anyone who goes there by train will have to stay there overnight. By the way, what travel site do you use to check and what city did you see it was still available for?

Maybe this is why every time we have had a very rainy March, it has always been followed by a very hot summer.

I wonder if there was any snow the day before that low or on that day?

that's right-- I remember it, but it was mostly sleet here lol

that low of 12 in 1923 is pretty amazing! how come it's not on the lowest max list-- did it get that warm that day that it wasn't among the coldest April highs?

I think it was in the teens in Newark in 1982. Hey Chris, can you go back to 1995, didn't we have an arctic shot in April that year with clear skies? The high was around 37 and the low was around 23 (average mid January temps), and it was windy and sunny. Maybe the temps would have stayed in the 20s that day if we had snow that day. The other cold April day I remember was in 2016 when we had temps in the 30s with snow to our east near Cape Cod. Very windy that day too. In 2003 we had three straight days in the 30s after the snowstorm. I think we warmed up quickly in 1996 and 2018 after those snowstorms.

-NAO can only bring that kind of cold here if that kind of cold is around to be brought here.... I'd much rather compare it to more recent April snow events. April 1996, April 1997, April 2003 and April 2018.

I wonder when's the last time we saw cold like that even in March? 1993?

why do you want brutally cold air anyway? it's mostly cold and dry!

Are you aware that our three rainiest Marches (all with 10 inches or more of rain) resulted in three of our hottest summers -- 2010, 1983 and 1980! We're at number 4 currently. WOW

it was very cold that entire week and we had a second mini snowstorm the following weekend! JFK got an inch of snow in that during the afternoon.

I wonder if the switch to a much warmer pattern is a precursor to a very hot summer. Are you aware that our three rainiest Marches (all with 10 inches or more of rain) resulted in three of our hottest summers -- 2010, 1983 and 1980! We're at number 4 currently.

and a busted forecast of 8-16 inches for us lol

Right, sounds like April 1997 is top end potential for us.... and we got 1-2 inches in that which is amazing for April but far short of the 8-16 inch forecasts. Do you remember those forecasts--- they were talking a full on blizzard, and it only happened in the mountains and then up at Boston, where they got 30 inches! It's absolutely amazing that Boston could get such a huge snowstorm in April!

this is more of the classic noreaster track while that was a coastal hugger.