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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    We also saw this time and again in the 80s and early 90s, storms which were progged to be 1-3" type deals for the city and long island ended up being more like T-1". For a storm to overperform there has to be colder air and it's more likely to happen later in the season when the ocean is colder. There is a reason why overperforming storms usually happen in the latter half of February as opposed to right now.
  2. LibertyBell
    January 2016 was better though it was a bonafide Cat 5 storm.
  3. LibertyBell
    It's quite possible the snowless streak will not be broken. We need 1.0" in one calendar day and it might be possible, or even likely, that does not happen.
  4. LibertyBell
    I didn't feel anything here in SW Nassau County. The August 2011 earthquake before Irene was much stronger and it was centered in the SE.
  5. LibertyBell
    I remember April 2003 and April 2018 quite clearly, in both cases we had snow all day in April, and the amounts were around 6" in each case.
  6. LibertyBell
    It's also worked in our favor as the winters from 02-03 onwards attest to as well as the big events like January 2016.....
  7. LibertyBell
    This is what happens when a person with bad eyesight (computer model) tries to thread a needle. First it misses to the right, and then it misses to the left...... if it ever does thread the needle it's purely because of dumb luck lol.
  8. LibertyBell
    I was confused because we've had snowstorms here with a trough somewhere in the west, but that's when the wavelengths are shorter.
  9. LibertyBell
    people have an urge for certainty when there is no certainty here. It could even come down to (shudder) nowcasting.
  10. LibertyBell
    That's probably another reason why these storms do better here in later February and March-- not just colder SST but also shorter wavelengths?
  11. LibertyBell
    I thought you want a trough on the west coast to get a snowstorm here? Does it come down to the exact location of the trough?
  12. LibertyBell
    It depends, an east wind will turn the island to rain in February too, this particular track isn't conducive to snow here, but then you have something like the Millenium storm which was all snow here in SW Nassau in late December, even Long Beach was all snow.
  13. LibertyBell
    what causes the AO and NAO to decouple? I've noticed we've seen this a lot in the last few winters.
  14. LibertyBell
    They just listed this as NYC's last 10 inch snowstorm on TWC.
  15. LibertyBell
    Yes that was another hugger that dumped a lot of snow at the coast-- they are rare but they happen!
  16. LibertyBell
    yes it was great even on the western part of the south shore just like March 1888 was! why can't all our huggers be just like this?
  17. LibertyBell
    SW Nassau was a great place to be for this, even near Long Beach! Why can't all our huggers be like this?
  18. LibertyBell
    wow you'd think that a month which averaged a -AO would be much colder than it actually was. How negative was the NAO, Don?
  19. LibertyBell
    They were right to sit out, these meaningless bowl games shouldn't even exist.
  20. LibertyBell
    College football playoff system sucks, the selection committee should have forced an 8 team playoff system this year and drafted the meaningless bowls into it. I dont mind players who opt out because these other bowl games are absolutely meaningless
  21. LibertyBell
    wow even 2015 isn't on this list!
  22. LibertyBell
    Yep, 3 inches is the break even point, anything under 3 inches will easily get washed away by rain and will be insignificant although it will break the 700 day 1" snowfall drought
  23. LibertyBell
    no debate, I've seen rain/snow maps that indicate that. and in the summer they are also much hotter because they have a much less influence from the ocean than long island does. Point being if you want more snow in the winter you have to deal with hotter weather in the summer (because you need less of an ocean influence for both more snow and more heat.)
  24. LibertyBell
    I've always wondered about that, I see the rain snow line is always much closer to the coast even in places south of here than up here.
  25. LibertyBell
    ah so it varies and you can't use a single mileage for everyone....see I consider Manhattan has part of the coast.
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