LibertyBell

Chris, why don't we use a fixed seasonal average instead of updating it every 10 years? A fixed seasonal average would show the true nature of the warming. For example, I think we should base our averages off of the 1951-1980 30 year period.

Thanks! I also read somewhere that there are two latitudes on the earth where the longest and shortest days are actually on the equinoxes! From what I read, the two latitudes where this happens are something like +1.5 degrees (north latitude) and -2.0 degrees (south latitude).... not sure why these are asymmetric too, but I think it might also have something to do with the earth's tilt.

Are you trying to keep *viewers* tuned in too, Ant?

okay all fixed now :-)

I made it much smaller after taking a screenshot of this but it still doesn't look right so I'll just pick one image that I took and use that

wow that sometimes happens in very early season lake effect events doesn't it.... the lakes are so warm that it rains at the shore but it's snow farther inland? I'm not sure, will have to research that.

They're supposed to be 200x200 I don't know why they look so big =\ I'll just post one then.

December average of 39 is a total joke too. NYC climate was reclassified when our coldest month ceased to be 32.0 or below, we are now subtropical. If you go back to the 1800s and even prior, both January and February averaged in the upper 20s and February used to be colder than January.

Isn't that the way lake effect works though-- it's usually slightly elevated and a little bit away from the lake shore.

what did he end up saying?

Since you're a data buff, maybe you would find this interesting too: What's the coldest January with less than 3 inches of snow? What's the coldest month with less than 3 inches of snow (could be DJF)? What's the coldest overall season with less than 20 inches of snow? Less than 10 inches of snow?

it changes after January 10th, but I've always wondered why there's this asymmetry between sunrises and sunsets.

*luck* keeps getting mentioned but that's a copout. The dry suppressive nature of this pattern was talked about even before January started.

I wonder what the reason for this asymmetry is? why do sunrises not get earlier when the sunsets keep getting later?

when is ice going to start forming on our back bays?

I've noticed that you need a strong el nino to have the south shore get more snow than the north shore-- all the south shore's truly big snowstorms happened in a strong el nino-- February 1983, PD2, January 2016.

it's not luck though, there are a few things you need to remember 1) this area is extremely sensitive and needs things to be *just right* since we are in between two tracks and we can suffer from both suppression and overamp 2) it's much easier to have a cutter than a snowstorm because cutter tracks encompass a much larger area than what we need for a snowstorm 3) a bad pacific can easily overpower a good atlantic and the northern stream is what makes the pacific bad right now 4) and a common theme here, there are MANY more ways to miss a snowstorm than there are to get a hit.

Long Island's own version of lake effect snow.

January 2016 comes to mind.... JFK 40 inches of snow 40 degrees average temperature that winter.

I would far prefer Jonas ;-)

but bring it farther west next time.

But February 2018 which hit 80 still had a 4 inch snowfall that month

the Knicks? They are overworking their players and will be burnt out (or injured) come playoff time.

I also think about what we had in October and the first half of November and that was bad too-- it reminded me of August 1995.

The problem is stopping climate change won't be enough, because with all the horrible things humanity is done, it will take at least a hundred years to fix even if we stopped emissions today (not happening), and the situation will keep getting worse, so I feel that some geoengineering will be required. The concept of weaponizing weather for warfare is truly terrifying!