LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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I love this kind of dry air, perfect skies perfect day. We get this in the fall sometimes too-- I think it was a couple of Novembers ago we had a week straight of highs near 70 and lows near freezing lol.
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JFK will probably be the first in our local area to approach 10" =\ Chris is this the entire snowfall record from JFK? They didn't have anything from the great winter of 1960-61 or before that? I remember 25.0" of snow at JFK from the great February 1961 blizzard.
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It's so amazing to have so many years in the last 35 under 10" snowfall. Beginning in 1988-89 we have 10 out of 35 years with less than 10" of snow. I bet that's more than the number of years we have 40" or more. It's actually close to 30" or more.
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How many times have we had back to back years with less than 10"? May have implications for next season lol
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That's still a science degree though, there's a difference between that and some 19 yr old on Twitter....
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Thanks Chris-- how was it specifically between 1987-88 and 1991-92
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Maybe this is why there are so many birds around? Even a lot of woodpeckers this year so far
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2001-02 is just a cut above all the others, really loved that spring and summer too, hopefully we get that again and then something like 2002-03
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the perfect year the GOAT
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I'm hoping for 2002....
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not necessarily
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breeze off the water
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You're right, if it isn't going to snow I want warm and sunny and not humid.
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I've seen a lot of Aprils that were colder than this, this is more like early May lol
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I want a super el nino that lasts for a decade
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Can you do one for JFK too please? With this said we must remember the 70s, 80s and 90s lol
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wow a +3.1 deviation prediction already with the first week barely over is a shocker....and I feel like this has a lot of upward mobility, the Feb avg could easily be 40.0 or even higher
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That's what I'm saying, we shouldn't allow "weatherpeople" to make forecasts.
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Yes...I was going to add this too.... people without college degrees should not be doing forecasts. "Weatherperson" shouldn't be a thing. After all do we let people without medical degrees make medical diagnoses? I guess we do, but they are more likely to be charlatans than anything else. A 4 year science degree should be a A REQUIREMENT for anything in STEM, including meteorology.
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That's normal though, the Arctic is warming most of all, so the highest deviations will always be to the north. Look at Vermont.... The heat is actually spreading north to south not south to north, in terms of deviations. The fire started in the attic (arctic lol) not the basement....
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overpopulation is also heavily involved in the current mass extinction event (see above) Maybe the plans to green the city by 30% will help improve UHI...it has major health implications.
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Climate isn't pseudoscience but subjectively calling a 30 year period "normal"-- I don't find that to be scientific.....we should at least make that 60 years, which is how far back most of our major airport records go. I think 60 years would be better to use all the modern data we have available. I just don't like the use of "averages" at all.....to make it even more scientific we should use standard deviations and anything within 1 SD should be considered normal, rather than pick a specific single number. I don't know why something so complex as climate and weather is reduced down to a single number rather than using a range of values, which I find to be of more scientific value. There are other sciences that are far more exact than meteorology is....take astronomy for example. One of the reasons I love it is because its predictions are so exact going out thousands of years. You can count on that eclipse or occultation happening when it's supposed to. You don't see that kind of beautiful exact precision anywhere in meteorology or climate. I agree with you about mass extinction; we are in the middle of one right now. But its cause is more than just climate change, it's pesticides and horrible chemicals that companies are allowed to use which scientists have been warning against for decades that are destroying pollinators. These same companies were involved in making chemical weapons (Bayer, Dow, etc.), so we know their behavior is not altruistic, they want to maximize their profits and to hell with the environment and our health. There are also other issues like logging and exploitation and yes-- reaching the carrying capacity of the planet. All of these factor into the mass extinction that humanity has started. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extinction_event Research completed after the seminal 1982 paper (Sepkoski and Raup) has concluded that a sixth mass extinction event is ongoing due to human activities: 6. Holocene extinction currently ongoing. Extinctions have occurred at over 1000 times the background extinction rate since 1900, and the rate is increasing.[26][27][a] The mass extinction is a result of human activity,[29][30][31][32] driven by population growth and overconsumption of the earth's natural resources.[b] The 2019 global biodiversity assessment by IPBES asserts that out of an estimated 8 million species, 1 million plant and animal species are currently threatened with extinction.[34][35][36][37] In late 2021, WWF Germany suggested that over a million species could go extinct within a decade in the "largest mass extinction event since the end of the dinosaur age."[38] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocene_extinction
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and 1999 was just barely in that range..... 19" is still below normal for us....how many were in the 20-29" range, Chris? None I'm guessing.
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DC wont get anything either
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It's why people who say meteorology is a pseudoscience are wrong but what IS a pseudoscience is thinking that computing averages has any value whatsoever. The climate has changed throughout the history of the planet, so we shouldn't be computing averages based on very subjective 30 year snapshots. I wish we would stop talking about averages altogether as that makes it seem like the climate "should be" static.
