LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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the rain maker is going to be Wednesday-Thursday, all the forecasts I have seen show a nice sunny weekend Friday-Saturday-Sunday.
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This is what I mean by the planet self regulating the heat. I think the most obvious sign of climate change is not higher maximum temperatures, but a much smaller difference between highs and lows. The average temperatures can still rise, but we have far fewer record highs in the warm season now and our heatwaves are much shorter. The record highs are all or mostly in the fall and summer. It's going to blur the lines between the seasons until eventually we only have two seasons (wet and dry).
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Tony, the forecasts I have seen show it as being mostly sunny Friday, Saturday and Sunday with temperatures in the upper 70s.
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EWR: 96 (1965) NYC: 95 (1880) LGA: 94 (2010) JFK: 91 (2010) Lows: EWR: 44 (1967) NYC: 42 (1967) LGA: 45 (1972) JFK: 52 (1967) Historical: 1771 - A famous Virginia flood occurred as heavy rains in the mountains brought all rivers in the state to record high levels. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1880: Record maximum temperature for Washington DC. for the date is 96 °F. Boston, MA recorded its highest temperature ever for May of 97 °F. wow 1880 heat in May even beat 2010....
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It's not really hot in Canada though is it? Just in the low 80s or close to there?
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One of our earliest Memorial Days, with a full week of May/Met Spring left. We really should move Memorial Day to the first Monday in June.
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I think we should move Memorial Day to the first Monday in June. It's ridiculous we still have a week of May left after it so it's not even Met summer for another week yet.
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I'd be fascinated to know why this is, some patterns seem to be very stable, like the cut off low pattern now and the warm/wet cold/dry pattern in the winter. I wonder if the two are somehow related and the stability of both patterns are connected.
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Yeah this is why the beaches and swimming down there are considered much better than the ones up here lol.
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It becomes extremely rare to see this kind of weather by June 20th. Our weather changes usually time up well with the seasons. So just going by our climate alone, if this weather does keep going, I see less than a 10% chance of it continuing past June 15th or so. The rainfall has also been higher to our north so I'd say that will continue too, with either average or below normal rainfall near the coast at our latitude.
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luckily some of us have space heaters to hold the crap weather at bay.
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I guarantee you if the weather stays like this, the beach economy is going to go to shit.
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Yes, the skies are getting brighter and the sun just came out here again just now!
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what exactly is keeping that pesky low from moving, Tony? it moved enough to get the rain out of here after Friday but then it stopped again?
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it was sunny all morning, the clouds only came in the last hour or two.
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Southern regions were better because we were further away from that pesky low. We had sunshine in the morning and later in the day, the period of cloud cover was 2-3 hours between 11 am and 2 pm.
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also with other properties, for example higher cloud cover and larger amounts of water vapor, which will likely put a cap on the extremely high temperatures, while the average temperature can still increase (thus a smaller range between min and max.) This is what you see in the tropical rain forest.
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For the city and Long Island, the peak is likely around 105-110. JFK hit 104 in July 1966 and 103 in July 2011. LGA hit 107 in July 1966 and 104 in July 2011 (as did Central Park.) So the peak is likely between 105-110 for NYC and around 105 for JFK and points east. I don't factor in dew points or overnight temperatures since neither measure actual *heat*
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I agree, the planet itself regulates how hot it can get. It's not all about human induced climate change, but also the earth's own natural regulatory processes and how they interact with it.
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in other words our hottest summers will be a thing of the past? I don't buy this summer climate being hotter for us than what we had in the past....it's definitely not, not even for NJ, especially if you go by peak temperatures. It's weird to see it hotter in the PNW, with the ocean to their west lol. I do think these things go in cycles though, so I do think a 1960s type pattern will return at some point. It's all about extremes and that high has to move at some point.
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it's only 50% cloudy here but the sun just happens to be covered. if the winds stay up they will blow the clouds away
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JFK better hit at least 105 in that pattern.
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1966 and 1983 had absolutely amazing summers even with spring temperatures never making it out of the 70s.
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Yes-- and number1 and number 2 on that average high temperature list had VERY hot summers. From that chart it can be seen that this spring is very similar to last year's On the top chart, it's amazing that 1983 had the lowest high since it was the hottest summer here until 2010.... 1983 must have had an extremely rainy spring to keep the highest spring temperature down at 75. 1966 was our hottest summer before 1983 with 100+ degree temperatures starting in June and continuing into July so it's amazing to see its highest spring temperature down at 79 too.
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68 here yesterday was pretty good when the sun was out, today might be close to normal here around 70.
