psv88

Long Island about to get crushed. Snow sticking to roads now. Let’s go

4 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Nice!!

32 and light snow currently. Back to sleep before the main show

Snowing and 33 in Suffolk. Grass and cars covered but roads mostly just wet

Islip reporting light snow now 

Shame it’s such a fast mover. Will still be fun 

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

Would definitely still be worth interest there. Trenton area especially. But further south also means weaker dynamics. 

We are in the sweet spot for this one. Take a drive to west hills park tomorrow. It’s beautiful in the snow. 

Just now, allgame830 said:

21z RAP coming in with a solid bump NW so far through 12 hours compared to 20z.
 

per NE Forum 

RAP was a southern outlier so that’s good

6 minutes ago, Picard said:

They're still hanging on to the higher amounts up here.  Interesting.

Precip field will be more expansive than EURO/UKIE. 

Upton going with 10” out here. Just gassed up the snowblower. LFG

Just now, Franklin0529 said:

No complaints. Just getting weaker a weaker a without dynamics it's not gonna cool a stick. Couple slushy inches sure. 

For you maybe. For most of the forum it’s gotten better. 

Long Island locked in now for a nice 3-6” snowfall. Been a while and it will be nice to see.

HRRR destroys LI. 12-15”.

hard sell. I think 3-6” still a good call city and coast 

I wouldn’t completely discount the EURO. It has support from UKIE. Definitely concerning trend here. Stay tuned 

1 minute ago, wishcast_hater said:

LOL - Backend Snow.


.

It’s more a strong CCB from a bombing low. Not your dying backend band. The CCB will be getting stronger and more intense as the storm pulls east 

Was sneaky cold last night at 29. That outta help cool the ground a bit 

Just now, Brian5671 said:

Do agree with that and you need to give dual working households times to prep for child care.  It's a no win either way-half the people will be happy half will be upset.   In a year like this with little snow a freebie day isn't the worst thing in the world.

Let the kids enjoy the snow. I have no problem with a snow day 

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

for wet roads

Many teachers commute from well outside the city. 

Think city/coast good for 3-6”. Less south, more north. Inland 6-12”. Pretty standard 

Just now, jm1220 said:

Time to buy in? 

Deposit

9 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

What's interesting is that to read the last few pages of this thread, one could think it's just a matter of just how big our upside surprise will be, with the chance of minimal snow being mostly dismissed.   But I don't see Upton, or anyone else responsible for informing the public, budging from the same 1-2" for LI that they've had for days.  In the past, while this is sometimes due to those folks being well aware of what everyone here is seeing, but being cautious for now before sounding the alarm, more often than not they don't ever budge and are correct.   So I'm curbing my enthusiasm and if I get a nice surprise on Tuesday, that'll be great.

They only update 2-3 times a day. Their next update will change. Relax. 

2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

are they even considering global models as of now? The mesoscale models are in range

And the mesos all show warning snows for Nassau and Suffolk, even with kuchera. I think they have to go with a watch at the 4 am advisory

1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said:

I think if 0Z Euro looks like the other models NYC will be under a WWA by the morning.

Issue is areas east of city which are not urban. With rates at 2-3” an hour, if they occur, roads will become road covered, even highways. So Upton will probably go WSW for the whole area IMO if the EURO holds serve.

5 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

I would issue a word of caution to everyone living in the NYC metro area and down to the coast while viewing the NAM and HRRR. Even if that very heavy snow verifies, it would take several hours of that to accumulate considering it's not a nighttime storm, temperatures will be starting off in the upper 30s, and at its coldest, we're likely to get down to around 34. Accumulation, even if the snow is that heavy and persistent, would still only lead to accumulations on vegetation and colder surfaces. I wouldn't expect much in the way of road impacts 

Not true here. The snowfall rates are progged at 2-3” per hour. Snow will immediately stick to the roads outside of manhattan 

4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Sniff the rain zone might work out for us for once. HRRR isn’t great at this range but hope the other models show some good trends. 

Don’t get sucked in lol. expecting more than 3” will lead to disappointment. 

5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

The “sniff the rain” zone wherever that ends up will likely be a good place to be. This is an energetic system with a lot of moisture to work with. 

Sniff zone could be the long island sound. Congrats Can 13