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cmasty1978

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About cmasty1978

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  1. I looked around on the JMA site all afternoon and found a few places that had max winds around 30 m/s, which is about 70mph. Most of the places had hours of 20-25 m/s winds so it was a prolonged gale for sure. I doubt the highest winds were sampled but I bet this was a cat 1 at landfall. Himiwari 9 loop of landfall... http://col.st/ebQlF
  2. blast from the past. sup scorpion. come to ampol OT and tell the tropics dudes what you've been up to.
  3. Another halfacane for icyclone
  4. people can read the posts and decide themselves about the hype. it's all love, man. i like your posts. but i am just staking out a strong position. the storm is increasingly looking like crap, the JTWC forecast is loltastic, and japan can handle it.
  5. everyone knows i am ridiculous. that's irrelevant, though. i am also usually right. 3 hours ago you said this: The center may be slightly tilted as well. Southerly flow is screaming. This is still an intense typhoon though. I am a bit worried this won't weaken more than 15-20 kts prior to landfall ue to rapid forward motion. this will definitely be wrong. by a bunch.
  6. I just do not see what your point is here. Who has made a call this will landfall as a Super Typhoon? Look at the forecast. It's still serious for Japan. japan is going to be just fine. they have great building codes...and look at the satellite, dude...its pooping out.
  7. tbh i think you have, mildly.
  8. Good thing that's not how we alert the public. You don't downplay a 135kt cyclone. Yes, the core may degrade to absolute crap landfall. You want to base your advisory on that call. Have you ever been in a Cat 2/3 storm? This will be destructive. Hopefully it will weaken an that destruction will be mitigated. you can totally downplay a 135kt storm that is in the middle of the ocean. what matters is what it is when it hits something. and when it hits something it's going to be pretty run of the mill....maybe even garden variety (shout out to my hurricane nate weenies). i'll be fine with eating a fat plate of crow if it turns out to be a disaster.
  9. just passionate about not overhyping
  10. let's just leave it be for now and we can see how it plays out. i am still on team "blustery day with lots of twitter videos of waves".
  11. Perhaps in 8-10 hrs, but the perspective that it's falling apart based on current satellite presentation isn't good sound meteorology. We all knew the system was going to weaken based on the environement. But Lan isn't exactly hot garbage. lan is definitely hot garbage and has been for its entire existence. the WPAC is the land of gods. show some respect to real legendary typhoons. let this one go. 135kt max and extratropical turning crap into japan is zzzzz
  12. you've got way too much faith in this system. just throw on the loop. this is going to look terrible in 8-10 hours.
  13. The center may be slightly tilted as well. Southerly flow is screaming. This is still an intense typhoon though. I am a bit worried this won't weaken more than 15-20 kts prior to landfall ue to rapid forward motion. i don't know, man...it's really going downhill the last few frames