hlcater

Tooooo close. Got a really strong feeling this goes north of my area. Possible mixing issues as well. Though a south trend of 50-75 miles would make a huge difference.

How about Iowa? More importantly, where does the cutoff reside? I’m expecting somewhat similar placement, but more robust than 00z.

This has Wisconsin special written all over it. With strong LLJ, there really isn’t a whole lot to keep the baroclinic zone from just packing it’s bags and traveling north. I’d expect the low to cut through Iowa in some capacity.

Gross

Looks to have moderated the extent of the cold in both magnitude and duration fairly significantly. Heck, it almost looks benign!

I'd like it to ideally come back a bit south. Getting a wee bit north for my liking, but I won't complain. Still a 6" system in IC.

DVN has -21 in my point and click.

What these weak systems should do is reinforce the baroclinic zone and try to keep it farther south. Especially if one of these waves comes in stronger.

With the bigger clipper and the arctic outbreak next week, I haven't seen too much talk about the clipper tomorrow. Could drop a sneaky 1-2" across much of E IA and N IL. Hardly as noteworthy as whats up ahead, but the unique thing this system has going for it is the extremely cold air it has to work with. Could be looking at ratios of 20-25:1. Snow in the single digits, THAT's winter. Also noting the strange looking DGZ on this sounding. Since the surface layer is a part of the -12 to -18c zone, it's technically in the DGZ? Though this could be the algorithm messing up, as a DGZ from 800 to 700mb seems more probable.

Parts of Eastern Iowa go below zero for nearly 5 days on the 00z GFS!! That would be pure insanity.

Especially of one of the weaker waves preceding this one trend stronger, of those the one on Sunday is of particular interest as it could have a fairly pronounced impact on track.

The forecaster who did the DVN long range forecast afternoon was very bullish/borderline geeking out over the prospects for extreme cold... somewhat understandably.

DVN is already doing categorical as well.

That 00z run after FH108 is one of the most incredible euro runs I’ve ever seen in this area.

Sweet mother of god. Of course, can't afford to get terribly excited due to the fact its 5 days away.

You got a QPF map? I dont wanna wait for weather.us. It's a massive, extremely cold, hybrid system. Man, that would be a dream storm.

Puking snow here, best rates of the event for sure. Probably just exceeding 1”/hr. Finally got some good dendrites to boot, this band is gonna fluff up nicely

I put it in the clipper thread where it belongs. I thought I was in there to begin with lol. Anyways, I'm at about 2.5" so far in IC and we have a really good band fixing to move in. We've got a really nice shot at a 6" snow.

Are we really doing this again GFS?

Similar to what Hawkeye literally just posted, I only have 0.3-0.5" of snow so far. I've been stuck in flurries for over 2 hours.

The ER in Cedar Rapids is busy today for that reason. A parent of mine works there, says there are tons of falls, with many needing to be admitted.

I still haven’t had anything more than pixie dust so far. Still just a dusting.

IC looks to be stuck in a localized band of subsidence for the next few hours. 3-4 if the HRRR is to be believed. This will probably shave an inch or two off my totals.

HRRR continues to dry out the main snowband here. Only 2-4" by 5 am tomorrow. Down from what was 6-8" on the 12z run. I smell an underperformer. Call for Iowa City? 4 inches.

What I wouldn't do for a windfield like that in May.