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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. GFS has a decent amount of QPF on Monday .. ~.25" - .4" region wide. Could get interesting for those who are looking for ice .. shallow warm layer but not the deepest / coldest layer beneath. Might have to take the ice threat more seriously if we keep trending for bigger impact on Monday. Could be a zone that has a solid glazing going into Monday night and sees a decent chunk of QPF fall as ZR from round 2. CMC looks like ~1/3" QPF on Monday
  2. hey man I would love nothing more than to see a big ice / mixed QPF event to seal in this pack, but the return rate is pretty rare.
  3. you haven't come close to warning criteria ice since nov 2002 what are you talking about
  4. KBOS def runs a couple degrees too cold as of late
  5. rev and taunton blizz ensemble approach might be the best way to go going forward
  6. should have gone back to metro west for this one .. ive never seen it rip this hard and have maybe like 4-5 to show for it
  7. we gonna get pasted here, might have to make a snowman at powderhouse
  8. radar actually doesn't look too bad for the next couple hours
  9. whats going on with the KORH ASOS? I'm seeing 0.38, 0.24 in the bucket for the past 2 hours ..
  10. Was 2011 the last real big -NAO in January? Can't recall anything modeled like this in a long time
  11. chief nowhere to be found in this thread either today .... looks like classic nuisance glaze to rain NW of 90/495 after initial T-1" of snow / sleet
  12. 18z Euro less robust than 12z with the Monday deal, maybe 1" or so where cold enough
  13. back in Shrewsbury for this one and def a lot of variance locally due to elevation .. only a coating so far imby at about 420', but at least an inch down at the center of town closer to 700' as of 11. Flipped to snow on the drive back at the rt 9 / 495 intersection at ~10:45. A little frustrating knowing just up the street from mby there's more snow on the roads then I have on the grass here seems like ~600'+ locally is the magic #
  14. as you will find out, ORH is just far enough W, E, N, S ... Def gonna have to make the trek back to metro west tmrw morning for this one. Not liking my chances of seeing more than 2-4 where I'm at in Somerville.
  15. don't forget to consider how high agl the radar beam is at that distance
  16. we aren't locking in the 12z CMC run?
  17. could be interesting to see what happens with 95L and how it may affect the modeling of that D6 deal
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