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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. PowellVolz
    Tellico is beautiful. .
  2. PowellVolz
    He is just high enough and close enough to the mountains to get a similar climate to the mountains in these type events. .
  3. PowellVolz
    Lots of healthy looking moisture gathering on the Tenn/Ky line moving your way. 30-40db showing up and that should be all snow. .
  4. PowellVolz
    I always enjoy your updates, mostly because I love the area you are in. Spent a lot of time on 129 camping and stuff. .
  5. PowellVolz
    Snow reports down to the Alabama boarder assuming it’s not fake news.
  6. PowellVolz
    I think you are in a good spot. My area always does better when we see the flow out of the NNW. The mountains in Morgan/Anderson Co cause too much downsloping for me in a NW flow. .
  7. PowellVolz
    IMO.... areas that are upper 30’s will fall several degrees when that moderate band in Kentucky moves into ETn. It will start out as rain but as the rates pick up it should change over. .
  8. PowellVolz
    Sure is. https://www.resortcams.com/webcams/ober-gatlinburg-tram/ .
  9. PowellVolz
    29’ at Newfound .
  10. PowellVolz
    .
  11. PowellVolz
    I’m actually in Halls off Hwy 33. My username is from where I grew up at. .
  12. PowellVolz
    I’m down to 38-39ish. My point and click showed temps staying in the low 40’s until 5pm when they would start to drop [emoji2369] .
  13. PowellVolz
    I live in N Knox Co about 10 min from Union Co. .
  14. PowellVolz
    Your temperature drop running ahead of schedule? .
  15. PowellVolz
    I think I said 3-6” yesterday and I lean more towards 6” now. I’ve been in 6-8 different rain to snow upslope events in Gatlinburg/Wears Valley. My favorite one..... sometime around January 2006 or 07’ on a Friday we played golf at Laurel Valley in shorts and polos. Finished up and started smoking ribs and a pork butt around 4pm. Cold front moves in around 6 and it starts to rain. Wind picks up to 40-50mph and we lose power. By 8pm it’s snowing high ratio squalls that was easily over an inch an hour. By midnight we 6”. The reason I remember this the most is because the wind had a sound that I will never forget and forecast had a few snow showers in it with no accumulation. .
  16. PowellVolz
    Anyway to tell what elevation the melting is occurring at there? .
  17. PowellVolz
    It’s really just depends on which way the mountain faces that you are on I’ve seen upslope events where you can see several inches of snow, drive a mile away at the same elevation and see just a dusting. At 2800ft, if you are facing in a good direction you could easily see 3-6”. Ober Gatlinburg ski area is usually a good location for orographic snows. .
  18. PowellVolz
    I don’t think it’s going to matter for us lower elevations people but it looks like I’m going to be 5-8 degrees below my predicted high temp. Might be a little CAD in the valley but it might make a big difference for you boys at or above 1,500ft. .
  19. PowellVolz
    These are my favorite threads. I get to watch people post pics of their snow while I empty my rain gauge. Can’t wait!!!! .
  20. PowellVolz
    I must be missing something... you don’t seem to like further SE with the system but I thought we were tracking an Apps runner? Wouldn’t SE trends be good? Wouldn’t a later phase allow more cold into ETn? .
  21. PowellVolz
    Almost looks like a CAD situation on both sides of the apps. .
  22. PowellVolz
    That’s beautiful .
  23. PowellVolz
    My Jap maple and bloodgood still has leaves. My neighbors oak is half full. .
  24. PowellVolz
    Wow that’s beautiful. Just took this one. .
  25. PowellVolz
    From MRX: “So in closing, confidence is quite high that the higher terrain areas will see snow during this event; how much is still to be determined. The valley is much more uncertain as was mentioned earlier. I will say that if recent runs of the ECMWF are correct that there is a very good chance that most valley locations will see some snow and perhaps even some light accumulations. However, there are just too many uncertainties at this point to get any more specific with the forecast. Bottom line, please stay tuned to the forecast because this system has the potential to bring snow across much of the area but the uncertainty is very high across the lower elevations.” .
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