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Everything posted by PowellVolz
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11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
MRX has us at 33 in the morning . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Friend of mine in Lexington Tn, NE of Jackson said an hour ago they had snow and 30 degrees. Seems like temps are falling lower than I expected. Edit: he just told me schools are closing in Jackson. He wasn’t expecting to get anything more than a few flakes. . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
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11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Was assuming the NAM might fall off a little. Nice surprise . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
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11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
What I keep waiting on -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Clarksville about to get hammered . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Can we use this thread for opps? . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
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11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Good luck . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
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11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Maybe we’ll squeeze something out . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Parts of west/middle Tennessee was just issued a winter weather advisory. My buddy NE of Jackson is saying the changeover is happening faster than expected . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Twitter? . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
15z SREF held at a 3” mean but now every member is showing at least 1 inch. . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
1044 High pressure. Is that strong enough? . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Starting to buy in. . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
[emoji23][emoji23] we know that ain’t happening for us. . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Still a lot of “if and buts” we are working with. If the cold air is a couple hours late we are looking at a flurry or two. . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just got around to reading MRX overnight discussion and it grabs my attention that they point out that significant forcing lags behind the front with the jet overhead. That makes me feel better about the precip enhancement post frontal passage that the mods are seeing . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
SREF actually jump from 2” to 3” mean from 03z to 09z this morning for TYS. . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’m not your guy to explain what’s going on with the mods, this board has a lot more smarter people than me on here. . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think everyone is having the same doubts because there’s nothing to account for the extra precip in the valley and mods don’t handle micro climate enhancement all that well. Unless the environment post front is really unstable, I’m having a hard time seeing more than the typical 1” max on the ridge tops in the valley. . -
11/12/19 Tennessee Valley Early Winter Event
PowellVolz replied to BlunderStorm's topic in Tennessee Valley
Don’t forget the possibilities of a little RH getting trapped in the valley with CAA overrunning. Seen this happen a couple of times but its more typical East of 40/81 . -
Tennessee Valley 2019 Fall Speculation/Forecasting
PowellVolz replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Are you asking or did you hear that? .- 574 replies
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- early winter
- leaves changing
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(and 3 more)
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