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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. PowellVolz
    https://m.facebook.com/jason.nash.509/videos/1908544665957154/?locale2=en_US .
  2. PowellVolz
    MRX says a tornado actually touched down in Morgan Co .
  3. PowellVolz
    The cell moved directly over the top of my area but had obviously lifted by then. My dog that is def started barking and that’s when the Warning went out. I got up to take a look and the winds were probably 40ish mph directly out of the north. What’s really wild is we’re talking mid 60’s temps and upper 50’s DP at night feeding a long track super cell that’s probably high end EF3 at the least. How does that happen? .
  4. PowellVolz
    And that’s kinda out of the best ingredients .
  5. PowellVolz
    SPC has expanded the slight risks and added in a 5% tornado threat. Big hail might be legit. .
  6. PowellVolz
    LOL... .
  7. PowellVolz
    http://www.captainaccurate.com/blog/another-blizzard-of-93-perhaps-you-should-read-this?fbclid=IwAR2yrRNG5akbfMOEt37t9dQjl4jJGg73dAGqBeO93LMBYfIUfT5FdBU5oDA .
  8. PowellVolz
    It’s really nice you follow severe this close so far out. Appreciate the updates. .
  9. PowellVolz
    Heavy dusting, 1/4” or so of snow. Woke up at 4am and it was really coming down. High ratio stuff. .
  10. PowellVolz
    WSW issued for Blount, Sevier and Cocke GSM. Sounds like over 6” possible on top .
  11. PowellVolz
    .
  12. PowellVolz
    Who got it right? .
  13. PowellVolz
    LOL at Knoxville .
  14. PowellVolz
    Euro QPF over the next 10 days. This looks to come in 2 or 3 systems so that ain’t bad. .
  15. PowellVolz
    .
  16. PowellVolz
    Not trying to beat this into the ground but let’s not forget the Precip shield has been further NW the last several systems than what was shown. .
  17. PowellVolz
    I’m just about 100% positive that’s the inverted trough snow we got. I remembered it was on a Wednesday and was pretty sure it was in 14’ .
  18. PowellVolz
    Absolutely. What I was thinking is if the boundary was in the valley, the SE flow over the mountains might down slop before it was lifted back up. I very well could be overthinking this and cramming to much into a small space. .
  19. PowellVolz
    It was 2014 I believe. We were in between two systems. About a week before we had a snow/sleet/RZ system that dumped 3-6 inches across the valley before changing to sleet. The inverted trough happened on a Wednesday afternoon and the NWS didn’t start talking about it till the night before. I ended up with 4-5”. A week later we had another overrunning event that was snow to ice to rain. School was out for two weeks. .
  20. PowellVolz
    Just thinking out loud here but with marginal temps the valley needs a possible inverted trough to stay over the mountains. If it lines up in the valley wouldn’t downsloping become a problem? .
  21. PowellVolz
    18z NAM out to 57 looks on track. .
  22. PowellVolz
    Not that it really matters storm to storm but the last system that did well in SE Tennessee, only the NAM for several days had snow into Knoxville and thats what happened. Also the Euro didn’t have the precip field far enough NW a few weeks back for the system that effected SC/NC. .
  23. PowellVolz
    Something we have seen many times is the NAM will lead the way with an aggressive move. What happens next with the globals will give us a good idea which way we are headed. .
  24. PowellVolz
    I’ll take my chances with everything south of us and I wouldn’t feel good about it if I was in the sweet spot right now. .
  25. PowellVolz
    Just having a storm within 2 area codes is a win in my book. .
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