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KeenerWx

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Everything posted by KeenerWx

  1. KeenerWx
    Looks likely that a new watch will be issued for NE IL/N IN/SW MI.
  2. KeenerWx
    Looking like any solid initiation will either occur overtop or most likely east/southeast of MBY. While severe threat should be low locally, hopeful that we can still get a small serving of nature's snap, crackle, pop. Any flavor of thunderstorm is appreciated and distances away from another rather forgettable winter.
  3. KeenerWx
    As others mentioned, dust was rather profound this afternoon. Currently under a Dust Advisory which I do not recall the last time that's occurred locally.
  4. KeenerWx
    Better than last year. TSFZRA a couple weeks back was pretty cool; don't recall ever experiencing that. But like others I'm ready to move onto spring.
  5. KeenerWx
    Despite the doom & gloom, radar trends look decent for a nice thump of snow for the eastern parts of the forum. Hope y'all can cash in and at the very least outperform the lowest threshold of guidance!
  6. KeenerWx
    Might grab some snow showers in round two thanks to Lake (Michigan/Illinois/Wisconsin/Indiana)
  7. KeenerWx
    Taken literally, GFS would be somewhat of a heartbreaker locally. Things really get going about 15 miles east. But this is well within margin and tbh, I'm already satisfied given tonight's performance. Went in with the expectation of ~2" total. Tonight delivered on that. Whatever we get on top is gravy.
  8. KeenerWx
    2" so far tonight. Overachieved my expectations locally.
  9. KeenerWx
    I'll go ahead and throw out 2.1" total for this one IMBY. Ceiling looks limited locally. DAB on the table, though.
  10. KeenerWx
    2.5" and winding down. I'll take it. Looks nice outside Congrats to those who got a bigger hit!
  11. KeenerWx
    2.7" final call for IMBY
  12. KeenerWx
    Best not to bet against the seasonal trend.
  13. KeenerWx
    Afternoon chips on the NAM probably not going to pay out. That said, a good cover to moderate hit for many seems to be on the table. Can't be mad at that.
  14. KeenerWx
    Arguably weaker and drier has been a trend all winter, but otherwise agreed!
  15. KeenerWx
    Yep - getting some good claps of thunder.
  16. KeenerWx
    Look forward to continue stacking pennies with tomorrow's duster+.
  17. KeenerWx
    Don't mind being nickel and dimed away from the hellhole that was the 23/24 season. Finding myself more appreciative of any amount of snow nowadays. Sort-of a nice reset insomuch that this is simply a hobby-interest. Only 4" more to surpass last season. Seems a rather doable task given latitude and remaining time.
  18. KeenerWx
    Picked up a landscape refresher of 1.6”. Rather content with that as I was expecting nothing at all. Trends in the hi-res models are favoring Lake County, IN for LES later but hope our Chicago peeps can still cash in. Might get some mood flakes down here.
  19. KeenerWx
    Parameters for LE on the southern shore of Lake Michigan are ok/decent. It seems like most of the time the deterministic model output is too far west for band placement. There are exceptions, of course. Best to expect flurries for now.
  20. KeenerWx
    Euro has been consistent trash. But wise to cut the precip output from GFS.
  21. KeenerWx
    Could be wrong but I faintly recall the Euro being quite garbage the last cold season. No idea on the verification metrics on the other models. At this point it looks like locally I'm either on the brutal side of a gradient or getting a good whiff south. I'm just rooting for our southern forum family to get something good.
  22. KeenerWx
    1.4" here & winding down. Cool with the nickel & dime; outperforming last year's miserable snow season. A low bar, but you take what you can get.
  23. KeenerWx
    Will be interesting to see how the response evolves over the next 24-36 hours inland of southern Lake Michigan. There seems to be a lot of scenarios on the table. Not necessarily unlike any LE potential, but look forward to seeing (and hoping) some locations cashing in.
  24. KeenerWx
    On the board with 0.2". Which would have probably been a top 10 event last winter. #winning
  25. KeenerWx
    Always thought it would be interesting to see how much a model spits out over a season vs what actually transpires. Would need to have some form of anchor points though as guidance will change multiple times per day. Maybe go super crazy and do daily max of all preceding guidance and end up with like 1,000". With that in mind, I will now bag the 4" of monopoly snow the GFS has provided. Wouldn't be appropriately honoring Halloween without some whisper of flakes.
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