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Mshaffer526

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Everything posted by Mshaffer526

  1. Mshaffer526
    RAP loves York and Lancaster Counties
  2. Mshaffer526
    As the morning drags on, will definitely be tougher. The good news looks like this will be coming in earlier than initially thought.
  3. Mshaffer526
    Yeah NW cutoff is a B. Hoping that softens.
  4. Mshaffer526
    Hug the HRDPS. Nice thump before mix.
  5. Mshaffer526
    They did, but the one they just updated a little bit ago didn't really cut totals that much. 8" for pretty much the entire southern tier east of I-81.
  6. Mshaffer526
    That is yesterday's map. This is today's:
  7. Mshaffer526
    Yup, admittedly I would be more worried if I was north and west of 222.
  8. Mshaffer526
    It's really not *that* bad.
  9. Mshaffer526
    That's the silver lining of this run. Get a few inches of nice fresh white snow and call it a day.
  10. Mshaffer526
    I find that model seems to be much better at focusing on region-wide averages. It will typically not have some of the crazy jackpot zones that other models have.
  11. Mshaffer526
    I would be ecstatic if this was a low end.
  12. Mshaffer526
    (Once again), I would rather be where you are than where I am Expect the least and hope for the best. At this point, I just want things to be a mess outside. A few inches of fresh white followed by sleet, I can live with. The key difference here vs. the super-frustrating storm from a few weeks ago is that once the snow is finished, you can be at peace knowing it's just about done. That was sheer, unadulterated agony watching everyone switch back to snow with that storm while I kept pinging.
  13. Mshaffer526
    Will it be Dr. No, or will there be a stay of execution?
  14. Mshaffer526
    Yeah that call is pretty darn aggressive for I-95 and south especially...seems like he is all-in on the thump.
  15. Mshaffer526
    That first guess map is from yesterday AM, if I had to guess he will be moving the SE boundary of the high end stuff northwest a bit.
  16. Mshaffer526
  17. Mshaffer526
    Definitely anticipating that axis to shift NW by a good bit over the next 24 hours. Climo starting to flex its muscle again. I'll be happy with 4" in Gap, hopefully it can survive to the weekend for sledding with the kids.
  18. Mshaffer526
    00Z Euro was ugggggly.
  19. Mshaffer526
    Looks like we ended up with a hair over 2" here.
  20. Mshaffer526
    Gonna be interesting to see if the 18Z NAM was onto anything with that sharp gradient to the N in Eastern PA. It really has that wedge of dry air pressing. Probably just noise but we will see.
  21. Mshaffer526
    32/23 in Gap, eastern Lancaster County. Hoping the QPF can fight its way east tonight. I'll be happy with 3".
  22. Mshaffer526
    I was about to say that was surprising, but then I realized I probably received a decent bit more here from Sunday's storm than you did.
  23. Mshaffer526
    I just checked AccuWeather for my location (Gap, Eastern Lancaster County) and it has doubled down on 6-10" here (61% probability). That seems...optimistic. Meanwhile, temperature has spiked to 37 here today.
  24. Mshaffer526
    Hi all. Up at my inlaws in Poughkeepsie this weekend (visiting from Lancaster County PA). Looking forward to tracking this with you all, good luck.
  25. Mshaffer526
    Thank you! Thought that might be the case. And small world!
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