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Mshaffer526

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Everything posted by Mshaffer526

  1. No doubt. And honestly, I would be overjoyed if that latest NWS forecast verified out here.
  2. Most of us would kill to be where you are... Just relax lol.
  3. Euro run is exactly what many of us wanted to see this morning. Was afraid of a last minute shift NE but that looks promising.
  4. I'm hanging steady at 26/14. Did have some virga pass over earlier.
  5. Good luck today to all of you! May your thump be blessed and your virga be absent.
  6. Good luck today/tomorrow everyone! Remember kids... No more NE adjustments. I won't feel safe until the 12Z suite and even then...
  7. OBS to the southwest made it sound like there was very little virga.
  8. Related to the SREF, the 00Z HRRR is really disappointing too. Ditto--NEPA to NNJ.
  9. 00Z HRRR Is pretty disappointing for a lot of areas. Obligatory "outside its range" but surprising.
  10. I hope this wasn't referring to me. It was an honest question because I've always heard the HRRR over 24 hours (hell, sometimes even 12) is extremely unreliable. It was a pretty crappy run here too so I certainly would have no reason to be passive-aggressive? Not that I would anyway.
  11. I would never ask for local amounts Just curious to hear a Met's perspective on the 48 hour HRRR. Sometimes hard to tell which ones are *really* useless at long range and which judgments are weenie-induced.
  12. I always hear "useless at this range", but it keying on Lehigh Valley east into NNJ is hardly out of line with other modeling. Thoughts?
  13. Really hope this doesn't keep jogging north.
  14. Thanks! Yeah, I'm in that weird no man's land between the two climo areas. I always love calling my reports into CTP, I might as well be reporting from the Moon.
  15. South Central PA along and east of the LSV has been bullseyed pretty consistently over the last few model runs. I'm barely in CTP territory (three miles west of Chester County line) but feeling really good for all of us out here. The large margin for error helps.
  16. Yeah, the NAM is bad for us. Too far east to get the full WAA, too far west for the CCB.
  17. Massive shift east on NAM. Dryslots Philly area most of the day Monday and not much back end snow works in.
  18. Thought Euro was coming NW... Might not be much change actually
  19. Yeah I'm feeling good in Lancaster County. That said, I'd be sweating a bit if I was closer to Philadelphia and the 95 corridor. Mixing issues plus dry slot possibilities.
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