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Mshaffer526

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Everything posted by Mshaffer526

  1. Mshaffer526
    It's the NAM vs. every other model, save for the HRRR. I'm cautiously optimistic that we get nuked late afternoon tomorrow
  2. Mshaffer526
    Big pressure drops off the OBX
  3. Mshaffer526
    I'm hugging the GFS all night. Between that and the intense banding on the RGEM tomorrow afternoon that extended the whole way into LanCo, the chips are back in!
  4. Mshaffer526
    Two inches down in Gap. Beautiful outside
  5. Mshaffer526
    Seeing the same thing down here in Gap.
  6. Mshaffer526
    My bar is 6". Just give us half a foot and I'll be happy.
  7. Mshaffer526
    Yup. QPF distribution 20 to 30 miles further east.
  8. Mshaffer526
    28/20 in Gap. Steady light stuff
  9. Mshaffer526
    28/21 in Gap. Slowly but surely dews are rising.
  10. Mshaffer526
    No doubt. And honestly, I would be overjoyed if that latest NWS forecast verified out here.
  11. Mshaffer526
    Most of us would kill to be where you are... Just relax lol.
  12. Mshaffer526
    26/14 in Gap.
  13. Mshaffer526
    Euro run is exactly what many of us wanted to see this morning. Was afraid of a last minute shift NE but that looks promising.
  14. Mshaffer526
    I'm hanging steady at 26/14. Did have some virga pass over earlier.
  15. Mshaffer526
    Anything less than 24" IMBY is a bust.
  16. Mshaffer526
    Good luck today to all of you! May your thump be blessed and your virga be absent.
  17. Mshaffer526
    Good luck today/tomorrow everyone! Remember kids... No more NE adjustments. I won't feel safe until the 12Z suite and even then...
  18. Mshaffer526
    OBS to the southwest made it sound like there was very little virga.
  19. Mshaffer526
    Related to the SREF, the 00Z HRRR is really disappointing too. Ditto--NEPA to NNJ.
  20. Mshaffer526
    00Z HRRR Is pretty disappointing for a lot of areas. Obligatory "outside its range" but surprising.
  21. Mshaffer526
    I hope this wasn't referring to me. It was an honest question because I've always heard the HRRR over 24 hours (hell, sometimes even 12) is extremely unreliable. It was a pretty crappy run here too so I certainly would have no reason to be passive-aggressive? Not that I would anyway.
  22. Mshaffer526
    I would never ask for local amounts Just curious to hear a Met's perspective on the 48 hour HRRR. Sometimes hard to tell which ones are *really* useless at long range and which judgments are weenie-induced.
  23. Mshaffer526
    I always hear "useless at this range", but it keying on Lehigh Valley east into NNJ is hardly out of line with other modeling. Thoughts?
  24. Mshaffer526
    "HOW MUCH FOR COLUMBIA, ERIC?"
  25. Mshaffer526
    Really hope this doesn't keep jogging north.
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