eyewall

3 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Mid 90s as far as the eye can see. Anyone else ready for Fall?

yes!

18 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Damn. Not good for LI. Probably some gusts close to hurricane force on the eastern quadrant. 

I doubt anyone will see that except the immediate beaches at most. I would say in the populated areas, maybe gusts to 60 in a couple of spots. The sustained 60 is over open water.

3 hours ago, backedgeapproaching said:

All water holes nice and warm with the pretty much sustained sun and warmth..felt like mid 70s maybe..kids enjoyed a nice dip

 

That looks amazing!

15 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Looks rather dry from triangle north and west today/tomorrow. Not sure everyone will even see rain. During this “wet” period 

We had one downpour on this side of Raleigh yesterday and that was it. The models were backing off earlier this week but yeah another bust.

How are the Rhododendrons looking at the higher elevations? Is it too late?

MT trip?

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Missoula MT
1049 AM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020

MTZ007-170000-
/O.NEW.KMSO.WS.A.0007.200617T0000Z-200617T1800Z/
Butte/Blackfoot Region-
1049 AM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow possible. For elevations 5000 feet and
  higher: total snow accumulations of up to 8 inches possible.
  Locally higher amounts of 12 to 15 inches possible in the
  highest terrain (above roughly 6500 feet).

* WHERE...Butte, Georgetown Lake, Highway 12 Garrison to
  Elliston, Homestake Pass, and MacDonald Pass.

* WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Backcountry
  conditions could become difficult, if not dangerous, during this
  time.

Meanwhile in MT:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Missoula MT
1049 AM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020

MTZ007-170000-
/O.NEW.KMSO.WS.A.0007.200617T0000Z-200617T1800Z/
Butte/Blackfoot Region-
1049 AM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow possible. For elevations 5000 feet and
  higher: total snow accumulations of up to 8 inches possible.
  Locally higher amounts of 12 to 15 inches possible in the
  highest terrain (above roughly 6500 feet).

* WHERE...Butte, Georgetown Lake, Highway 12 Garrison to
  Elliston, Homestake Pass, and MacDonald Pass.

* WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Backcountry
  conditions could become difficult, if not dangerous, during this
  time.

11 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Might be the first flood watch without a tenth of an inch of rain for me 

Yeah it busted hard for Raleigh. All the rain remained just to the west.

31 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Not seeing the heavy rain from the us1 corridor west. Only seen a couple brief showers

Additional showers and storms are likely to develop along the surface
to 925 mb front/trough from s-cntl VA swwd across the NC Piedmont
later this afternoon; and these will become numerous to widespread
while settling only slowly sewd across the US Highway 1 corridor in
cntl NC through early tonight. That activity is likely to pose the
greatest risk of flash flooding, focused between 20Z Thu and 06Z
Fri.

14 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

Very cool photos. I see the condensation level was ground scraping yesterday with Bertha

Yes indeed. My altitude was 100-200ft AGL in these.

There were a few mini supercells in southern Wake yesterday and of course one prompted a tornado warning. I got a few aerials as these rotated through:

 

18 minutes ago, Hvward said:

Got a few shots from Roan this morning. https://www.ashevillewx.com/weatherupdate/2020/5/8/may-snow-coats-nc-high-country-photo-gallery

Very cool. Thank you for sharing. Looks like mostly rime up there with the dusting of snow.

I unfortunately didn't make it out to Carvers Gap as I am needed at work today. The radar didn't look all that impressive overnight but I am sure they got something.

6 hours ago, WintersNotComing said:

I'll be waking up EARLY to try to get there for the sunrise. Looks to be a good spot at the moment. I'd love to camp but I know there's no way I can talk my girlfriend into that...

That is our plan as well. Hope to see you there.

Any cams showing snow yet?

I remember those May snows well when I was up there. Looks like I will be headed up to the NC Mountains overnight. May be an inch or two of snow at 5K feet at sunrise. That would be just about at the latest recorded snow I believe.

7 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Absolutely for this time of the year. Maybe a quick few inches.

Yeah it will be a heck of a trip with no sleep but might be worth catching one of the latest snows on record in NC.

I was thinking of headed up to Roan Mountain/Carvers Gap overnight. Thoughts on that being worthwhile?

This is exactly what I thought would happen. The pattern would become much more favorable when it was too late.

So frustrating that this couldn't have been a daytime event and closer up this way. I am still looking for another solid chase day or two before summer junk season.

Not sure if this has been posted or not:

100 knots at 900mb is just ridiculous!

For Raleigh this is a non-event but wow what a morning

It does appear there may be a wake low behind the line in the Troy NC area

Doesn't look like it will be much in Raleigh.