eyewall

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This thing is lame AF. Cane?  

There is no way this is a hurricane still.

4 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said:

Wow, shear wins. I've never seen a hurricane get smushed like that. Like a bug against a windshield. 

I'd be so depressed if I was chasing this thing or if I lived in Tampa, would be the same feeling as doing an entire 8 ball of cocaine and running out. 

LOL yeah I remember Don fizzled in like two advisories in South Texas years ago.

2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Man, this could be an interesting day Thursday. Runs keep moving the precip shield west, as I expected, and the area east of the track looks primed for some severe weather, possibly tornadoes as we often see. Long story short: there should be some very heavy rain (3-4 in) over a swath of central NC with an increasing tornado threat in the eastern half of the state

 

Agreed. Not sure if it will get Crabtree going but we shall see.

17 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

If the remnants of Elsa miss us to the east this will not come true 

The latest runs are bringing it back in our direction but yeah we shall see.

1 minute ago, Floridian8211 said:

Hi I'm an hour south of Tampa. What is going to be the dirty side of this storm?

The east side of the storm, which is what you will be in.

If you are chasing try one of these two cells:

15 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Getting thunder now here at the mountain and a very humid -RN.

That had a nice hook as it came off the lake!

7 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Damn, 40s in Raleigh in the daytime in May... that’s what the valleys were up here yesterday. 

It is the CAD wedge we needed in January LOL.

3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

A couple inches on the Snow Cam last night.

Got to love the warmer half of the year ;). Anyway it is snowing today in the NC mountains and 47F in Raleigh NC midday which is very cold here for May.

1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said:

I hope the weather 3 years from today is as nice.  The astronomical event of our lifetime in NNE.  Total solar eclipse.   Northern VT is closest to centerline.  Book your Stowe trip now!

 

LOL you have about a 10% chance of it being clear in VT at that time.

On 3/28/2021 at 8:02 PM, CryHavoc said:

Impressive night-time shot of the Newnan EF4.

That is impressive. I only wish it was shot in landscape. The amount of lightning is insane.

5 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

The couple of thunderstorms that were supposed to roll through here yesterday weren’t nearly as strong as the HRRR was indicating.  

They didn't hit a solid environment until reaching the Coastal Plain.

Got a wall cloud on the lead cell this afternoon near Dortches NC

I caught the developing meso outside of Apex of what became that supercell over Raleigh:
 

Proximity to the radar is also why the CC hole doesn't look as well defined.

It has been on the ground for over 60 miles and counting going by the CC drop.

Just now, TexMexWx said:

Couplet SW of Cave Spring, GA is becoming quite intense. The supercell structure looks like slop but it's probably being scanned from pretty high

yeah it is in a radar hole. The circulation is very intense.

It will certainly go down as one of the worst Moderate Risk busts in some time. They seem to struggle when it isn't the Plains or Dixie Alley. None the less here is a pano I took of the tornado warned cell in Alamance County NC:
 

Alamance County NC this evening (Graham and near Saxapahaw)

About to post some pics. I caught the tor warned cell in Alamance and then the next one to its southwest near Saxapawhaw that also became warned. If there was any funnel it was most certainly rainwrapped. None the less not a bad first chase of the year.

Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

May have to get your spotlight out. I’m not sure it gets here before dark. 

yeah I may roll west a bit.

2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I say bust too being they dismissed schools early and many business across the eastern part of the state closed between 2-4 in anticipation of severe weather. Many of these areas may not see any weather (rain) period. That’s a bust when you get to the point of closing schools and businesses and there isn’t a severe report within 100 miles when you started the day in a level 3-4 severe threat.

I will take a consolation shelf with the QLCS

Some breaks and filtered sun appearing here in Raleigh. The main line is still west of I-77

3 hours ago, Cheeznado said:

I chased a really great supercell in Central Alabama yesterday west and SW of Selma. Best SE storm structure I have seen in my 41 years here. Go to https://www.facebook.com/cheeznadophoto

I would love to get something like that with drone

Downgraded to Enhanced in southeast NC/northeast SC