eyewall

I just don't see those ice amounts verifying when a lot of places will start the event at 31F or so. This airmass marginal and the latent heat process will kill it fairly quickly.

Well if I was going to chase I would have to go all the way to PA for the max (which is what I want to go for). I also think it would strain my budget right now a bit. I will unfortunately have to enjoy the cold rain down here. I fully expect to zero out in Raleigh this year so I have to find an opportunity somewhere within reason before winter ends.

Just now, PivotPoint said:

Good to see you on here. I use to creep all the time in the Northern NE Winter thread. Always enjoyed reading your stuff. My avatar pic is side-country at Stowe. Sad that I'm not allowed to up to VT this year.

Yeah I am not either. My record single snowfall occurred up there of 30 inches in the Pi Day storm.

Just now, ravensrule said:

Wow. You are dedicated. I hope you get a huge storm wherever you decide to end up. 

After living in VT for a few years I need my fix LOL.

Just now, ravensrule said:

You are driving up from Raleigh?. 

Yes and probably would park myself at motel.

I am deciding between targeting Hagerstown or Hancock in MD perhaps. Chambersburg, PA would be backup if I had to go that far north.

I am trying to decide on a chase location. I was thinking Winchester, VA but not sure if that will even be too close to the mix right now. I don't want to have to go all the way to Harrsburg, PA.

There isn't any hope for this area at this point so I may go to NOVA.

Both the Euro and GFS look like shite for this part of NC, unless you like a little ice and cold rain.

2 hours ago, jjwxman said:

The 12z Euro is confirming my thoughts... for now.  Wednesday looks like a better set up for something, particularly in the CAD favored areas.

 

 

Probably ice.

Caught a quick burst of snow north of Raleigh. Hope you are getting nailed up there.

Caught the snow in Butner, NC then a solid burst near Creedmoor rd and 540 on the north side of Raleigh 

That is encouraging. it would be nice to see a courtesy flake out this way.

The pattern goes to crap through the holidays after today unfortunately.

Work says otherwise unfortunately. This was the last shot before the pattern goes to crap. Hopefully another opportunity will present itself toward January.

Would this one be worth a trip out there?

6 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

18Z runs pulled a Lee Corso. 

After that it is a cutter and warmth.

Well that chance didn't take long to vaporize for Mon night/Tue

7 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I just saw our dew point hit 56F overnight.  Yikes.

60/51 currently.

1.46” for water.

Meanwhile in western NC (wish it was my photo):

37 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

Woke up to 16° and light to moderate snow still falling. 8" on the ground is a great start to the season!

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

We are all looking at this in envy this morning!

6 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

The latter...

Hopefully we don't zero out on snow this winter out here. 

Unfortunately I won't be able to make it for this event. 

Anyone think it would be worth an early morning chase from Raleigh up toward Boone/Banner Elk?

cutters gonna cut

Crabtree is at minor flood stage at Wake Forest Rd.