eyewall

SC is in the middle of a tornado outbreak right now

Overall it does not look like the discrete cell scenario is going to play out. It looks like the line with embedded spin ups is what we will have for now.

2 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said:

Looking like we stay moderate until tomorrow and then wait and see if upgrade is needed depending on real time conditions tomorrow.

 

Yeah I don't think we will see a high today. During the April, 16 2011 outbreak in NC the high wasn't issued until the morning of the event.

I chased in NC the other day and was in my car in a rural area with nobody else around. As long as you don't make contact with people it should be fine.

They are definitely setting the stage to go to high risk tomorrow or on Sunday. Either way if this doesn't bust, this could be a memorable event.

Some shots I grabbed of yesterday's action (FB resolution isn't great but it gives a good idea):
https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=11832585&sk=media_set&set=a.10107145403640739&type=3&hc_location=ufi

Slight is gone for NC. As far as a derecho, it would not only have to be a long track swath of damaging winds but also numerous gusts of 75+

Slight Risk for tomorrow

Happy third anniversary of the Pi Day storm

Happy 3rd anniversary of the great Pi Day storm

I was on Long Island at the time. We had a lot of wind damage and coastal flooding. There was snow on the back end which I believe resulted in 2 or 3 inches or so.

17 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

30" total as of 4pm.

Here are the two readings... first stack was 25" at 11am and then 5" from 11a to 4p.

That is a nice hit. I am guessing Jay Peak will slant stick 65"

3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Set blasters on turbo... it is just choking dendrites all the sudden in town.

Wonder if I can clear 10” at home from this event.  8.4” so far and leaving for work.  Will find out later this evening. 

Reminds me of th

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Full on lake effect blizzard in Vermont.

3,000ft at 10:45am was checking in with 26" storm total stack (not multiple measurements, a 26" stack).

Here's 1,500ft at the office.

Reminds me of the upslope I chased the winter before moving up there.

Based on the GFS and Euro runs early this morning, the March 4th system would be more cutter like leaving us warm and facing more a severe weather threat than any kind of wintry precip. After that the pattern goes to crap once again. Prior to this, there are a few weak waves that die as they cross the NC mountains during the brief cold shot. The mountains may pick up a couple of light snow events with those disturbances. 

3 hours ago, ztinkler said:

@eyewall I live in DTR as well and I know the developer of those houses.  I shared with him a link to your pic and he wanted to know if he could get an original copy.  Did you take this pic?  If so, would you be willing to share it?

I did take the pic and yes I would be.

One more from this morning in Raleigh:

From Raleigh this morning at surise

Looks like we will end with about 2 inches on the colder surfaces in Raleigh. Pics tomorrow. I love that I was wrong in my prediction.

Looks like it is winding down in Raleigh. We will come in on the low end of the range.

Just now, NCsandhills said:

What part? I'd barely call it a dusting in North Hills. Flurries falling for the past 45 mins

By oakwood

Probably passing an inch here in Raleigh.

First 0.1" down in Raleigh. Snowing quite hard now.

Back to mostly snow here in the Mordecai area of Raleigh

Rain now in Raleigh

First flakes in Raleigh at 1:55pm where I am. Mixed with IP.