eyewall

G2 in progress, may got to G4. Check again immediately after dark!

Two CME's are enroute currently.  Both are full halo's, but slow moving and not impressive.  However, anytime you get two fired back-to-back there is a possibility of enhanced activity.  This one should be of decent duration and will probably peak at a G2 on Saturday'ish.

Clouds will be an issue here tomorrow night but we shall see.

Spaceweather has a photo posted from mass. Looked like bz dipped momentarilly. Dude must have pulled an all nighter for a view that only a camera can see.

Yeah I saw that photo this morning as well. It was 30 seconds with a wide open f stop. It was definitely not naked eye visible and even in the shot it is fairly dull.

We can't buy a damn proton tonight and the solar wind is starting to decrease. None of the parameters look promising.

How's it looking for tonight?

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anything good seen? 

Apparently someone in MN caught some, but I had to sleep and never saw a Kp that was impressive. It maxed out at G1. It looks like by the time it got going here it was nearing morning twilight and clouds moved in.

Proton density just spiked. We have to see if the other parameters come up.

We should clear tonight if a G3 does hit. I have my fingers crossed!

I completely missed it! I had to be up super early  

Clouds killed us tonight.

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G3 ongoing right now. Not sure if it will hold until dark. Also we will have clouds to deal with.

There was a surprise G3 last night. There is some possibility for action tonight in its wake. It was cloudy and rainy last night anyway. Tonight should be clear here.

It looks like the coronal hole arrived a bit early.  It packed a bigger wallop than your typical CH.

 

Solar wind around 670 with imf values of 17/-15 will always bring a nice G3.  G3 is good for naked-eye colors and well defined features.

Yeah a missed opportunity for sure

The lights were out last night, but this is Vermont, so you guessed it, clouds.

Oh I am pretty sure it won't be.

Compared to the last cycle, it felt like this one never really peaked at all.  I guess that was to be expected considering the last one basically would have yielded a carrington event or worse, had AR 486 fired off maybe 36 hours sooner.   

The 2003 aurora display over Long Island is one I will never forget (unfortunately I didn't have a camera capable of taking good photos of it at the time). It was incredible. Half the sky was visibily green and the other half visibly red and it was directly overhead. i was looking right at the Fire Island light which divided the two colors from where I was standing.

The clouds rolled in here. So if anything popped I never saw it.

I got nothing but far off thunderstorms and debris clouds. Where it was clear nothing was showing up.

Nice dense wind too. If we can just keep the convective debris clear, things look good.

Yeah I am going to have to actually go a bit south to avoid some junk.

Solar wind is 544 km/s and the Bz is -7.6

Which side of the pole is the annular ring/oval... ? 

 

 

Last thursday was the 156th anniversary of the Carrington event.  Just sayin'

It is coming around to our neck of the woods.

Kp may reach 7 tonight! Be ready!

Kp is 6 and the IMF is south for now. Let's see if it holds until after dark!

the moon is very bright. I just went out and any pic I took looked almost day like. If it is there it will be extremely tough to see.

it was cloudy this morning, as per agreement with the weather & borealis gods.

Well that is good then. I was out cold at 11 last night.  I wasn't quite sure when the clouds had really rolled in.