eyewall

In a few days it looks like Falls Lake will fall below its summer low point of around 245.55 feet. It is now at 245.86 and dropping. I am afraid we could rival the 2007 lows if this keeps up. 

14 hours ago, Tyler Penland said:

There was a fight on the Viaduct one day due to pedestrians being on the bridge.

I heard but haven't been able to verify that people were stopping their cars and getting out while on it at times. Absolute insanity. Ever since the Covid outdoor run it's been a madhouse up there, and seems like more tourons every year.  

The NRG area during fall color is magical. Did you make it up to Dolly Sods? I've always wanted to get up there for the fall color.

It was too late for Dolly Sods and the remnants of Isaias did a number on the higher elevation leaves but I hit some real nice spots near Monterey VA and at the Blackwater Canyon in WV as well as near Seneca Rocks (which is an awesome place color or not). 

These were all taken on 10/15 and 10/16.

I am glad I skipped Linn Cove this year as I heard it was a zoo even at sunrise now. I used to go every year for fall but this time I went for WV/VA. 

14 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Drove over falls this afternoon and it is as low as it looked this summer. Crazy to see it this low again. 

Another 5 to 6 inches and it will match the summer low point. 

On 10/16/2026 at 10:43 AM, backedgeapproaching said:

While I enjoy the early foliage with reds/oranges mixed with greens the most, something also enjoyable about the yellows fading at the end of foliage season. 

 

 

I agree the rusty colors of post peak can sometimes put on their own show. If the leaf drop is not horrible, Smugglers Notch can put on a good post peak show as I recall. This was a shot I got back on 10/17/2015:

46 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I don’t think we see a drop of rain for the rest of the month

Yeah the water restrictions will likely come back. 

This is a better depiction of the lake level without previous years shown. It is on the way to the lows we saw over the summer once again and this week at least looks completely dry. 

Falls Lake is becoming an issue again for sure:

Well it looks to be dry as a bone this week. So much for any rain from that coastal. 

I got a shot of the funnel which was rainwrapped on this storm. It was on the ground at one point as seen here in the NWS damage survey. I had to dehaze in lightroom to really bring it out. I was just west of where the touchdown occurred 

Got this near Morrisville (Had to dehaze in post to really see it due to it being rainwrapped.





After there was some tree debris on I-40 between 283 and 284

Cloud tops warmed pretty quick. This system is definitely struggling right now. 

8 hours ago, olafminesaw said:

Yup ...

They updated it not long ago and cut back central NC from this:

The 12z Euro shreds it and keeps it very weak. 

54 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

One thing to watch is the EPAC cherry. If it becomes strong (like many models are showing) it’s outflow very likely contributes to increased shear in the gulf and could seriously inhibit that system 

Good! I do not want to have to work this system lol. 

This entire summer except for late July was horrible and now the start of fall sucks too. Even worse is the models have backed off a bit on the extent of the cool down. The leaf change is expected to suck as well due to the drought. 

Lock it in!

5 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Halloween snow in the Triad?

10 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I’ll believe it when I see it

Same here. We have seen so many modeled hits fizzle out.

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

61.2 with light rain/drizzle. Just a few hundredths of an inch so far. Will almost certainly finish a "storm" total under 1/4" (including yesterdays rain), pretty big disappointment given modeling, forecast and SPC flood risks for the area coming into the event. Western NC big winner again

Yep wash, rinse, repeat. Well we cannot do that because there is not enough water for it lol. 

It just cannot rain in Raleigh anymore lol. 

Yes! Lets light this candle!

@NorthHillsWxyou may be lucky to get another 0.01 today. That ended up being a disaster. 

Run ahead outflow is killing us again in Raleigh 

This was the light show in the clouds before I got that shot:
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1085227447341802