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eyewall

Meteorologist
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Posts posted by eyewall

  1. I saw an amazing display one winter night up there over at Willoughby...I can't remember what year it was...probably 96 or 97.

    What time did you witness the best stuff Monday night?

    Between approximately 11:30pm to 12:30am and it kept going but it became almost completely overcast at that point.
  2. Pretty meh looking CME.  Not surprising given the poor positioning of the originating sunspot.

     

    G2 is a safe bet.  Nobody should have expectations of seeing anything worth getting out of your chair for.  This event is pretty much for cameras.

     

    Well I wouldn't say that entirely but most likely yes. The G2 last fall gave a show here with visible rods etc. but it certainly didn't match up to earlier this week. A lot will ride on that IMF and if we get a lucky substorm as well.

  3. Yet another Earth directed coronal mass ejection erupted from the Sun this morning.  Modeling of the event predicts arrival June 27 at 1700 UT (13:00 EDT).  This event is expected to be weaker than the severe geomagnetic storm from earlier in the week.  SWPC forecasters are calling for Moderate (G2) geomagnetic storm conditions beginning June 27 and continuing into June 28

     

    So models predict another daytime hit, but storming should persist into Fri night. G2 is enough to get it done here should the IMF be south.

  4. can you recommend any good spots in VT to see the Aurora? I actually saw them either the end of 96 or the beginning of 97 when i was at Lyndon State College...but I was also drunk...oops...freshman year of college, what can ya do?

     

    anyway, I'm in MA so it would be a bit of a drive, but i'd be willing to put in the effort for the chance to see them again...I'd probably pick up a friend and then I could head north on 91...but I just don't know where would be a good open and elevated spot low on light pollution

     

    Basically anywhere there is a clear view north. A mountaintop would be ideal but if not somewhere with a lot of open fields. For me that is up in the Swanton area outside of St. Albans. Obviously you can get darker skies in the NE Kingdom. I wonder if the south end of Lake Willoughby would be good out there. I should note as a rare occurrence the other night the aurora was nearly directly overhead at times and quite bright at times, but certainly away from city lights is almost always necessary. Friday night looks mostly clear up here so keep your fingers crossed!

  5. LOL well of course we hit a Kp of 6 this morning briefly and it is now a 5. Oh well. With that said there is some hope as an M7.9 flare erupted and likely produced a CME. We will have to wait and see if it is full halo and Earth bound.

  6. How do these things always manage to hit in the late morning/early afternoon? It's even more uncanny than the weekend snowstorm rule. Ah well, doesn't look that great anyway.

     

    ace-mag-swepam-6-hour_zpsxzskwyi6.gif

     

    Damn it! That is way too early.

  7. Eyewall, it blows my mind how much higher in the sky yours were. I mean, I know you're father north, but wow... the big dipper is completely engulfed. It was just fringed for me.

    I was blown away that they were directly overhead if not a little behind in some cases. They were not far off from reaching Alaska caliber at the peak. The only issue was the clouds.

  8. Well, that deescalated quickly. The Ovation model still looks impressive despite the putrid IMF, so maybe it's not entirely a lost cause?

     

    Yeah it is hard to say. Storms pulse up and down so I wouldn't give up yet. The weather looks favorable here so I am going to try anyway. The question is will the IMF tip south again?

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