eyewall
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Everything posted by eyewall
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LOL we have a hearbeat again?
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Morale is hitting rock bottom after the failboat set sail. Buckle up.
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Lock the thread
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I think we can call time of death on this one following the 12z GFS.
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Awful run:
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RAH seems to be going with a rain/snow mix for Raleigh and points east with all snow west.
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Raleigh gets Nam'd
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Book a room in Tallahassee LOL
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The Euro doesn't see a neutral or negative tilt and is later with the energy hence the weaker and southeast solution.
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Can we beat the half inch during the pre Christmas event? LOL
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BL Temps will be a significant issue as of now that is very concerning to me and of course with a daytime hit on top of that it may be hard to get it to stick for some. We shall see.
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That is for sure. I wish we were looking at this with a day to go.
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that would be nice for sure!
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The other interesting part of this is if we do get snow it doesn't warm up immediately after and may stay cold enough to keep it on the ground a little longer.
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Right now I think it is very plausible we see something out of this but I will caution that the warm nose almost always overpeforms and makes it farther inland than modeled. The pattern looks like it will be there but as always we live and die by the warm nose.
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Any further west and we would be in danger of sleet for a time on the GFS run.
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Oh you know it. A week of 40's and rain coming up.
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It looks like I am going to be documenting the lake levels in Jordan Lake as opposed to any snowfall.
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The rain forecast entirely busted so that drought continues here.
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Yeah not what I wanted to wake up to. Backup plan is a mountain chase for upslope.
