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sbnwx85

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Everything posted by sbnwx85

  1. sbnwx85
    33 and rain has me posting fantasy Euro storms. Sad!
  2. sbnwx85
    ^What could go wrong this far out?
  3. sbnwx85
    Just posted about that in the medium/long range thread. Trying to reel it in for us. It's probably our last hope before "spring".
  4. sbnwx85
    I'm telling you right now...this is gonna be the big one for us. GFS has a storm, too, but it'll come around and slide west soon.
  5. sbnwx85
    Tornado Watch up for the southern half of Illinois and Eastern Missouri. SUMMARY...A broken line of storms is expected to intensify and race northeastward and pose a damaging wind and tornado risk, particularly in vicinity of a warm front from near/north of the St Louis area into south-central Illinois.
  6. sbnwx85
    On the way into work I noticed one area in particular near the Toll Road where ice was still in the trees. I'd bet some areas in Northern Indiana ended up with a tenth of an inch of ice. I think MBY was just under that amount.
  7. sbnwx85
    33 and rain. The worst weather on the planet.
  8. sbnwx85
    Hanging on to 32 degrees. Moderate rain coming down. The ice is having a harder time accumulating but there’s a little more than a couple hours ago. Still nothing on the ground so roads, outside of bridges and overpasses, shouldn’t be bad.
  9. sbnwx85
    My backyard thermometer just went from 30 to 31 at 7 am. I’ll assume it was about this temperature while the moderate to heavy freezing rain moved through last hour. The parking lots and grass were only wet but everything else was covered in ice. Trees, cars, fences, etc. It seemed to accrue somewhat efficiently just above the ground. You’ve been alerted, Michigan posters. Good luck.
  10. sbnwx85
    Going to hope for a rumble of thunder tomorrow.
  11. sbnwx85
    IWX goes WWA for Branch and HIllsdale. I suspect they'll expand that to cover a light glaze of ice further south and west overnight. It's annoying some TV mets that they're waiting...
  12. sbnwx85
    Look at what the HRRR puts down before temps go above freezing for my area. Edit: And here's the entire run...FWIW
  13. sbnwx85
  14. sbnwx85
    I'll see your 36 degrees and raise you 34 degrees and rain.
  15. sbnwx85
    Pretty early in the year to break out the Excessive Rainfall Outlook map but here we are.
  16. sbnwx85
    I always jump the gun in the "When Will Watches Be Issued Game". I may never learn.
  17. sbnwx85
    I would imagine GRR would hoist watches this afternoon considering every model gives them heavy wintry precip in some form. IWX may issue one for Branch and Hillsdale in MI, too.
  18. sbnwx85
    The winter of futility records continues for ya. Smdh. At least the end of the month looks to be active.
  19. sbnwx85
    Final call: cold rain. Going to be a doozy of an ice storm just about a county or two north though. Might be close enough to look around before work Thursday morning.
  20. sbnwx85
    I thought NAM would be a bit south too at first but it turned out to be about the same as the previous run with placement of ice in Michigan. Still lofty totals too.
  21. sbnwx85
    18z GFS says maybe it’s time for me to invest in a generator.
  22. sbnwx85
    That is a blessing. I’ve been in an ice storm in January 2001 where half of an inch of ice accrued and temps stayed below freezing for over a week. Took several days to restore power.
  23. sbnwx85
    I’m leaning toward a cold rain here but occasionally a GFS or Euro run gets ice south of the Michigan border…it’s enough to keep me invested. A shift south by 30-50 miles would put me in the worst of the freezing rain. For now, I-94 in Michigan looks like it will get hit the hardest with ice.
  24. sbnwx85
    GFS is a touch south at 12z. Canadian a touch north. Some relatively minor run-to-run variability but overall each model has been really consistent since Friday.
  25. sbnwx85
    I’d imagine it would be tough to get much ice along the Illinois/Wisconsin side of the lakeshore with water temps in the mid-30’s and an east wind. Otherwise, it looks like a nasty storm where ever that corridor sets up.
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